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Serie B

Referee: L Marinelli

Palermo

T T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Catanzaro

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

43%

64%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 5. · Catanzaro 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Cremonese	14	7	4	3	+9	25
4	Como	14	7	4	3	+3	25
5	Palermo	14	7	3	4	+8	24
6	Catanzaro	14	7	3	4	+4	24
7	Modena	14	6	5	3	+1	23
8	Cittadella	14	6	4	4	-1	22
9	Cosenza	14	5	4	5	+3	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Bari	14	3	9	2	-1	18
12	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	+1	17
13	Pisa	14	4	5	5	-1	17
14	Reggiana	14	3	7	4	-3	16
15	Brescia	14	3	6	5	-3	15
16	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-4	13
17	Lecco	14	3	4	7	-8	13
18	Spezia	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Ternana	14	1	5	8	-6	8
20	FeralpiSalo	14	1	4	9	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Venezia	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Como	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Catanzaro	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+6	11
7	Palermo	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Modena	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Sudtirol	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Ternana	8	1	3	4	-1	6
16	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Spezia	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
5	Parma	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Catanzaro	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Brescia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Lecco	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.