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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Ternana

U T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Palermo

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

54%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 19. · Palermo 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Cremonese	14	7	4	3	+9	25
4	Como	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	Palermo	13	7	2	4	+8	23
6	Modena	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Cittadella	14	6	4	4	-1	22
8	Catanzaro	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Cosenza	13	5	4	4	+5	19
10	Sampdoria	14	5	3	6	-1	18
11	Bari	14	3	9	2	-1	18
12	Pisa	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Sudtirol	13	4	4	5	+1	16
14	Reggiana	14	3	7	4	-3	16
15	Brescia	13	3	5	5	-3	14
16	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-4	13
17	Lecco	13	3	3	7	-8	12
18	Spezia	14	1	7	6	-9	10
19	Ternana	13	1	4	8	-6	7
20	FeralpiSalo	14	1	4	9	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Venezia	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Como	6	4	1	1	+2	13
5	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+6	11
6	Palermo	7	3	1	3	+2	10
7	Catanzaro	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Modena	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
13	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
14	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Pisa	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-1	5
18	Spezia	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
5	Parma	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Catanzaro	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Brescia	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Lecco	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.