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Serie B

Referee: G Camplone

Palermo

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Brescia

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 43%

55%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

55%

20%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

40%

Average goals

2,4

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 5. · Brescia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Venezia	12	7	3	2	+7	24
3	Modena	12	6	4	2	+3	22
4	Catanzaro	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Palermo	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Cremonese	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Bari	12	3	8	1	+2	17
9	Sudtirol	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+3	16
11	Cittadella	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Reggiana	12	3	6	3	-1	15
13	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Pisa	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Ascoli	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Sampdoria	12	3	3	6	-4	12
17	Lecco	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Spezia	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Ternana	12	1	3	8	-6	6
20	FeralpiSalo	12	1	3	8	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Venezia	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
4	Catanzaro	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Modena	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+4	8
8	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
10	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Ascoli	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Reggiana	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	+0	6
14	Brescia	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Sampdoria	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-1	5
17	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Spezia	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Parma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Modena	6	3	3	0	+3	12
5	Venezia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Bari	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Como	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Lecco	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Brescia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
15	Sampdoria	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Ascoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-6	5
19	FeralpiSalo	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ternana	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.