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Serie B
Referee: J L Sacchi
Reggiana
S S T U T
3–1
Full-time
Empoli
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Reggiana 14. · Empoli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Monza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Juve Stabia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Bari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Spezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Empoli
12′
B. Popov 0–1
L. Ignacchiti
41′
ℹ️ Gabriele Guarino
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
🟥 Gabriele Guarino
1–1 C. Gondo
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟥 Nosa Edward Obaretin
L. Mendicino 🔁
↦ M. Bertagnoli
46′
46′
🔁 M. Curto
↦ R. Ilie
2–1 T. Reinhart
D. Quaranta
57′
58′
🔁 T. Ebuehi
↦ S. Elia
70′
🔁 I. Konate
↦ B. Popov
73′
🟨 Lorenzo Ignacchiti
73′
ℹ️ Lorenzo Ignacchiti
VAR: Penalty cancelled
3–1 M. Portanova
M. Marras
78′
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ E. Tavsan
80′
83′
🔁 L. Belardinelli
↦ G. Yepes
83′
🔁 B. Moruzzi
↦ F. Carboni
A. Bozzolan 🔁
↦ M. Marras
84′
F. Vallarelli 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
84′
D. Basili 🔁
↦ T. Reinhart
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Reggiana

3-4-2-1
1 E. Motta G
17 L. Libutti D
2 A. Papetti D
14 D. Quaranta D
23 M. Rover M
16 T. Reinhart M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
7 M. Marras M
10 E. Tavsan F
90 M. Portanova F
11 C. Gondo F
Bench (12)
12 A. Seculin
43 S. Bonetti
3 A. Bozzolan
13 A. Meroni
4 P. Rozzio
19 D. Basili
44 L. Mendicino
6 F. Vallarelli
5 L. Stulac
98 E. Cavaliere
91 O. Conte
9 A. Novakovich

Coach: Davide Dionigi

Empoli

3-4-2-1
21 A. Fulignati G
20 M. Lovato D
34 G. Guarino D
5 N. Obaretin D
7 S. Elia M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
14 G. Yepes M
79 F. Carboni M
10 R. Ilie F
15 J. Ceesay F
77 B. Popov F
Bench (12)
12 M. Gasparini
2 M. Curto
8 L. Belardinelli
11 S. Shpendi
24 T. Ebuehi
27 B. Moruzzi
28 G. Indragoli
38 A. Baralla
41 A. Asmussen
53 D. Busiello
90 I. Konate
96 A. Orlandi

Coach: Fabio Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,17
U
2,96
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.