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LaLiga2
Numancia
U U U S U
0–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
30%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
20%
44%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 2
16 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Numancia 13. · Zaragoza 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 11 9 1 1 +9 28
2 Almeria 11 5 4 2 +7 19
3 Huesca 10 6 0 4 +4 18
4 Fuenlabrada 10 5 2 3 +3 17
5 Zaragoza 9 4 4 1 +6 16
6 Vallecano 11 3 7 1 +3 16
7 Girona 11 5 1 5 +1 16
8 Elche 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Albacete 10 5 1 4 -5 16
10 Alcorcon 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Las Palmas 10 4 3 3 +1 15
12 Ponferradina 11 3 5 3 +2 14
13 Numancia 10 3 5 2 +2 14
14 Extremadura UD 11 3 4 4 +0 13
15 Tenerife 11 3 2 6 -2 11
16 Sp Gijon 11 2 5 4 -2 11
17 Mirandes 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Lugo 11 1 7 3 -5 10
19 Santander 10 1 5 4 -3 8
20 Malaga 11 1 5 5 -5 8
21 La Coruna 10 1 5 4 -6 8
22 Oviedo 10 1 4 5 -5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U
3,19
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.