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LaLiga2
Oviedo
T U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Numancia
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Numancia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
56%
22%
Both score Ø 56%
78%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 22. · Numancia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 9 7 1 1 +6 22
2 Almeria 9 5 2 2 +7 17
3 Fuenlabrada 9 5 2 2 +4 17
4 Zaragoza 8 4 4 0 +8 16
5 Albacete 10 5 1 4 -5 16
6 Huesca 9 5 0 4 +2 15
7 Las Palmas 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Vallecano 10 2 7 1 +2 13
9 Ponferradina 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Numancia 9 3 4 2 +2 13
11 Girona 9 4 1 4 +0 13
12 Elche 10 3 4 3 -1 13
13 Extremadura UD 10 3 3 4 +0 12
14 Alcorcon 10 3 3 4 -1 12
15 Sp Gijon 10 2 5 3 +0 11
16 Tenerife 10 3 2 5 -1 11
17 Lugo 10 1 6 3 -5 9
18 Santander 9 1 5 3 +0 8
19 Malaga 9 1 5 3 -2 8
20 Mirandes 10 1 5 4 -8 8
21 La Coruna 9 1 4 4 -6 7
22 Oviedo 9 1 3 5 -5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,50
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.