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LaLiga2

Elche

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Ponferradina

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

14%

57%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 0

28 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 12. · Ponferradina 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Cadiz	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Huesca	8	5	0	3	+3	15
4	Zaragoza	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Fuenlabrada	7	4	2	1	+3	14
6	Albacete	8	4	0	4	-6	12
7	Vallecano	8	2	5	1	+2	11
8	Alcorcon	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Ponferradina	7	2	4	1	+3	10
10	Girona	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Numancia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Elche	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Las Palmas	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Lugo	7	1	5	1	+0	8
15	Tenerife	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Sp Gijon	7	1	4	2	+0	7
17	Santander	7	1	3	3	+0	6
18	Malaga	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Extremadura UD	8	1	3	4	-3	6
20	La Coruna	7	1	3	3	-4	6
21	Mirandes	7	1	3	3	-6	6
22	Oviedo	7	0	2	5	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Zaragoza	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Girona	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Almeria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ponferradina	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Vallecano	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Numancia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Sp Gijon	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Albacete	3	2	0	1	-2	6
12	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Lugo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Mirandes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Santander	4	1	1	2	+2	4
16	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Alcorcon	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Elche	3	0	2	1	-2	2
21	Oviedo	3	0	2	1	-2	2
22	Extremadura UD	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fuenlabrada	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Almeria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Alcorcon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Elche	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Huesca	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Cadiz	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Albacete	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Extremadura UD	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Malaga	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Lugo	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Vallecano	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Numancia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Ponferradina	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Santander	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Mirandes	3	0	1	2	-6	1
21	Oviedo	4	0	0	4	-4	0
22	Girona	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.