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LaLiga2

Almeria

T U S T T

3–2

Full-time

Vallecano

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 36%

41%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

46%

36%

Both score Ø 58%

49%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

9 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

1 Corners 9

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 4. · Vallecano 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	40	19	12	9	+13	69
2	Huesca	40	19	7	14	+9	64
3	Zaragoza	40	17	11	12	+8	62
4	Almeria	39	16	12	11	+19	60
5	Girona	40	16	12	12	+6	60
6	Fuenlabrada	40	14	15	11	+6	57
7	Vallecano	39	12	20	7	+10	56
8	Elche	39	14	13	12	+7	55
9	Tenerife	39	14	12	13	+6	54
10	Alcorcon	39	12	17	10	+2	53
11	Las Palmas	40	13	14	13	-1	53
12	Mirandes	40	12	17	11	-4	53
13	Sp Gijon	39	13	12	14	+4	51
14	Oviedo	40	12	14	14	-4	50
15	Malaga	39	10	19	10	+1	49
16	Ponferradina	40	11	15	14	-5	48
17	La Coruna	40	11	15	14	-17	48
18	Numancia	40	12	11	17	-6	47
19	Albacete	39	11	13	15	-12	46
20	Lugo	40	10	16	14	-13	46
21	Extremadura UD	40	9	13	18	-14	40
22	Santander	40	5	18	17	-15	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	20	14	3	3	+16	45
2	Girona	20	13	5	2	+15	44
3	Cadiz	20	10	6	4	+9	36
4	Numancia	20	10	5	5	+9	35
5	Vallecano	20	9	8	3	+8	35
6	Ponferradina	20	8	9	3	+8	33
7	Sp Gijon	19	9	5	5	+11	32
8	Mirandes	20	7	11	2	+7	32
9	Fuenlabrada	20	8	8	4	+6	32
10	Las Palmas	20	8	7	5	+6	31
11	Almeria	19	9	3	7	+10	30
12	Tenerife	20	7	9	4	+5	30
13	Malaga	20	7	9	4	+5	30
14	Oviedo	20	6	11	3	+3	29
15	La Coruna	20	7	8	5	-1	29
16	Zaragoza	20	8	4	8	+2	28
17	Elche	19	6	8	5	+4	26
18	Lugo	20	6	8	6	-6	26
19	Albacete	20	4	9	7	-6	21
20	Alcorcon	19	5	5	9	-7	20
21	Extremadura UD	20	5	4	11	-7	19
22	Santander	20	3	9	8	-3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaragoza	20	9	7	4	+6	34
2	Alcorcon	20	7	12	1	+9	33
3	Cadiz	20	9	6	5	+4	33
4	Almeria	20	7	9	4	+9	30
5	Elche	20	8	5	7	+3	29
6	Fuenlabrada	20	6	7	7	+0	25
7	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-6	25
8	Tenerife	19	7	3	9	+1	24
9	Las Palmas	20	5	7	8	-7	22
10	Vallecano	19	3	12	4	+2	21
11	Oviedo	20	6	3	11	-7	21
12	Extremadura UD	20	4	9	7	-7	21
13	Mirandes	20	5	6	9	-11	21
14	Lugo	20	4	8	8	-7	20
15	Malaga	19	3	10	6	-4	19
16	Huesca	20	5	4	11	-7	19
17	Sp Gijon	20	4	7	9	-7	19
18	La Coruna	20	4	7	9	-16	19
19	Girona	20	3	7	10	-9	16
20	Santander	20	2	9	9	-12	15
21	Ponferradina	20	3	6	11	-13	15
22	Numancia	20	2	6	12	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.