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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
1–2
Full-time
Famalicao
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
19%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
39%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
42%
61%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 6
6 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 16. · Famalicao 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 33 26 4 3 +54 82
2 Benfica 33 22 6 5 +39 72
3 Sp Lisbon 32 19 5 8 +20 62
4 Sp Braga 33 18 5 10 +22 59
5 Rio Ave 34 16 9 9 +12 57
6 Famalicao 33 15 10 8 +5 55
7 Guimaraes 33 13 11 9 +18 50
8 Moreirense 33 10 14 9 +4 44
9 Gil Vicente 33 11 10 12 -3 43
10 Boavista 33 11 8 14 -7 41
11 Maritimo 34 9 13 12 -7 40
12 Santa Clara 33 10 10 13 -8 40
13 Pacos Ferreira 33 11 4 18 -17 37
14 Tondela 33 7 10 16 -18 31
15 Belenenses 32 8 7 17 -27 31
16 Vitoria Setubal 31 6 12 13 -17 30
17 Setubal 32 6 12 14 -18 30
18 Portimonense 33 5 14 14 -17 29
19 Aves 33 6 2 25 -35 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Famalicao
B. Pires 🟨
8′
15′
Diogo Gonçalves 0–1
Toni Martínez
Hildeberto Pereira 🔁
↦ Hélder Guedes
21′
1–1 Jubal
24′
37′
🟨 U. Racic
Carlinhos 🟨
37′
38′
🟨 G. A. Assuncao
40′
🟨 D. Goncalves
Half-time 1–1
Alex 🔁
↦ B. Mansilla
66′
G. Makaridze 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 Álex Centelles
↦ R. Coly
81′
🔁 Walterson
↦ Fábio Martins
81′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ Toni Martínez
81′
🔁 Riccieli
↦ N. Pérez
85′
🔁 Guga
↦ Pedro Gonçalves
Zequinha 🟨
87′
89′
Diogo Gonçalves 1–2
Anderson Silva
Leandrinho 🔁
↦ Carlinhos
91′
Mathiola 🔁
↦ José Semedo
91′
95′
🟨 Vana
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-2-3-1
90 G. Makaridze G
66 João Meira D
3 Jubal D
24 Bruno Pires D
16 André Sousa D
29 José Semedo M
10 Éber Bessa M
76 Carlinhos M
87 Zequinha M
7 Hélder Guedes F
22 B. Mansilla M
Bench (8)
11 Hildeberto Pereira
14 Alex
25 Leandrinho
20 Mathiola
28 Tòfol Montiel
1 João Valido
8 Nuno Valente
34 Leandro Vilela

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Famalicao

4-3-3
26 Vaná G
2 Ivo Pinto D
23 Roderick Miranda D
40 R. Coly D
18 N. Pérez D
69 U. Račić M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
11 Fábio Martins F
17 Diogo Gonçalves F
19 Toni Martínez F
Bench (9)
32 Álex Centelles
7 Walterson
33 Anderson Silva
15 Riccieli
6 Guga
21 João Neto
1 Rafael Defendi
97 Patrick William
10 Rúben Lameiras

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.