Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vitoria Setubal
Famalicao
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | +54 | 82 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | +39 | 72 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +20 | 62 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | +22 | 59 |
| 5 |
Rio Ave
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
| 6 |
Famalicao
|
33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 55 |
| 7 |
Guimaraes
|
33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | +18 | 50 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | +4 | 44 |
| 9 |
Gil Vicente
|
33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Boavista
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 |
Santa Clara
|
33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 |
Tondela
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |
Belenenses
|
32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -27 | 31 |
| 16 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 30 |
| 17 | Setubal | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -18 | 30 |
| 18 |
Portimonense
|
33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | -17 | 29 |
| 19 |
Aves
|
33 | 6 | 2 | 25 | -35 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Lito Vidigal
Ivo Pinto
D
N. Pérez
D
U. Račić
M
Pedro Gonçalves
M
Diogo Gonçalves
F
Toni Martínez
F
Coach: João Pedro Sousa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aves
Vitoria Setubal
Vitoria Setubal
Pacos Ferreira
Guimaraes
Vitoria Setubal
Vitoria Setubal
Rio Ave
Boavista
Vitoria Setubal
Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.