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LaLiga2
Malaga
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

18 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
4 Corners 5
22 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 9. · Sp Gijon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 7 5 1 1 +8 16
2 Fuenlabrada 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Sp Gijon 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Vallecano 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Ponferradina 6 4 0 2 +4 12
6 Las Palmas 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Mallorca 7 3 3 1 +3 12
8 Leganes 7 4 0 3 +1 12
9 Malaga 6 3 1 2 -3 10
10 Cartagena 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Mirandes 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Lugo 7 3 0 4 -1 9
13 Castellon 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Oviedo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
15 Tenerife 7 2 1 4 -3 7
16 Girona 5 2 0 3 -4 6
17 Alcorcon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
18 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
19 Logrones 6 1 2 3 -2 5
20 Albacete 7 1 2 4 -4 5
21 Almeria 5 1 1 3 -2 4
22 Sabadell 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,72
U
2,79
B
2,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.