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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Malaga

T U U T U

1–0

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

36%

54%

Both score Ø 47%

39%

54%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 12. · Sp Gijon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	28	23	3	2	+56	72
2	Ath Madrid	28	20	4	4	+30	64
3	Real Madrid	28	18	6	4	+54	60
4	Villarreal	28	15	8	5	+14	53
5	Sevilla	28	12	9	7	+10	45
6	Ath Bilbao	28	13	5	10	+8	44
7	Celta	28	12	6	10	-11	42
8	Eibar	28	10	6	12	+0	36
9	Sociedad	28	9	8	11	-2	35
10	Valencia	28	8	10	10	+0	34
11	Betis	28	8	10	10	-10	34
12	Malaga	28	8	9	11	-1	33
13	La Coruna	28	6	15	7	-2	33
14	Espanol	28	9	4	15	-26	31
15	Las Palmas	28	8	6	14	-10	30
16	Getafe	28	7	6	15	-18	27
17	Vallecano	28	6	8	14	-22	26
18	Granada	28	7	5	16	-24	26
19	Sp Gijon	28	6	6	16	-20	24
20	Levante	28	5	6	17	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	13	1	0	+38	40
2	Real Madrid	15	12	1	2	+42	37
3	Sevilla	14	12	0	2	+17	36
4	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+14	35
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
6	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+13	24
7	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
8	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+7	22
9	Celta	14	6	4	4	+1	22
10	Espanol	14	6	4	4	-8	22
11	Las Palmas	14	6	3	5	+4	21
12	Sociedad	14	5	5	4	+3	20
13	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+6	19
14	Valencia	14	4	7	3	+2	19
15	Vallecano	14	5	3	6	-4	18
16	La Coruna	14	3	8	3	+4	17
17	Levante	14	4	3	7	-6	15
18	Betis	14	3	6	5	-6	15
19	Granada	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Sp Gijon	14	3	4	7	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	Real Madrid	13	6	5	2	+12	23
4	Ath Bilbao	15	6	2	7	-5	20
5	Celta	14	6	2	6	-12	20
6	Betis	14	5	4	5	-4	19
7	Villarreal	13	4	6	3	+0	18
8	La Coruna	14	3	7	4	-6	16
9	Valencia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
10	Sociedad	14	4	3	7	-5	15
11	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-7	14
12	Eibar	13	3	3	7	-4	12
13	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
14	Sp Gijon	14	3	2	9	-15	11
15	Sevilla	14	0	9	5	-7	9
16	Las Palmas	14	2	3	9	-14	9
17	Espanol	14	3	0	11	-18	9
18	Vallecano	14	1	5	8	-18	8
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Getafe	13	1	2	10	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.