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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Malaga

T S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Sp Gijon

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

22 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 20

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 11. · Sp Gijon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+18	24
2	Barcelona	10	7	1	2	+18	22
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+19	21
4	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+5	21
5	Villarreal	10	5	4	1	+10	19
6	Sociedad	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Ath Bilbao	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Eibar	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Celta	10	4	2	4	-4	14
10	Las Palmas	10	3	4	3	+2	13
11	Malaga	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Espanol	10	2	5	3	-4	11
13	Betis	10	3	2	5	-9	11
14	Valencia	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Alaves	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-10	10
17	La Coruna	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Sp Gijon	10	2	3	5	-11	9
19	Osasuna	10	1	4	5	-8	7
20	Granada	10	0	3	7	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+14	13
3	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Malaga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
10	Las Palmas	5	2	3	0	+5	9
11	Celta	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	La Coruna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
14	Alaves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Betis	5	1	2	2	-5	5
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Granada	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Leganes	5	3	0	2	-2	9
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+5	8
5	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Valencia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
8	Sociedad	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	Sevilla	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Ath Bilbao	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Betis	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Celta	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Las Palmas	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Malaga	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	Sp Gijon	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	La Coruna	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Granada	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.