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LaLiga2

Sp Gijon

T T T U U

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,0

3,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 32%

41%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

22%

32%

Both score Ø 39%

32%

46%

Average goals

1,6

2,2

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 0

10 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 6. · Lugo 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	38	23	9	6	+43	78
2	Mallorca	38	21	9	8	+22	72
3	Almeria	38	19	9	10	+19	66
4	Leganes	38	18	9	11	+10	63
5	Girona	38	17	10	11	+8	61
6	Sp Gijon	37	15	13	9	+10	58
7	Vallecano	38	16	10	12	+7	58
8	Ponferradina	38	14	11	13	-2	53
9	Mirandes	38	14	10	14	+0	52
10	Fuenlabrada	38	11	17	10	+0	50
11	Las Palmas	38	12	14	12	-6	50
12	Malaga	38	13	11	14	-10	50
13	Oviedo	38	10	17	11	+1	47
14	Tenerife	38	12	11	15	-1	47
15	Alcorcon	38	11	10	17	-7	43
16	Zaragoza	38	10	12	16	-8	42
17	Cartagena	38	10	12	16	-10	42
18	Castellon	38	11	8	19	-9	41
19	Logrones	38	10	11	17	-21	41
20	Sabadell	38	9	13	16	-8	40
21	Lugo	37	8	13	16	-17	37
22	Albacete	38	9	9	20	-21	36

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	19	15	2	2	+31	47
2	Leganes	19	13	3	3	+12	42
3	Mallorca	19	12	3	4	+18	39
4	Las Palmas	19	10	5	4	+12	35
5	Almeria	19	9	7	3	+15	34
6	Sp Gijon	18	9	7	2	+10	34
7	Vallecano	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Girona	19	10	4	5	+8	34
9	Tenerife	19	9	6	4	+11	33
10	Ponferradina	19	9	6	4	+6	33
11	Zaragoza	19	8	7	4	+5	31
12	Castellon	19	9	1	9	+5	28
13	Cartagena	19	7	6	6	+3	27
14	Mirandes	19	6	9	4	+3	27
15	Lugo	19	6	8	5	+2	26
16	Oviedo	19	6	7	6	+3	25
17	Alcorcon	19	7	3	9	-3	24
18	Fuenlabrada	19	4	11	4	+2	23
19	Malaga	19	5	7	7	-4	22
20	Logrones	19	6	4	9	-9	22
21	Sabadell	19	4	9	6	-1	21
22	Albacete	19	5	5	9	-6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	19	9	6	4	+4	33
2	Almeria	19	10	2	7	+4	32
3	Espanol	19	8	7	4	+12	31
4	Malaga	19	8	4	7	-6	28
5	Girona	19	7	6	6	+0	27
6	Fuenlabrada	19	7	6	6	-2	27
7	Mirandes	19	8	1	10	-3	25
8	Sp Gijon	19	6	6	7	+0	24
9	Vallecano	19	6	6	7	-2	24
10	Oviedo	19	4	10	5	-2	22
11	Leganes	19	5	6	8	-2	21
12	Ponferradina	19	5	5	9	-8	20
13	Alcorcon	19	4	7	8	-4	19
14	Sabadell	19	5	4	10	-7	19
15	Logrones	19	4	7	8	-12	19
16	Albacete	19	4	4	11	-15	16
17	Cartagena	19	3	6	10	-13	15
18	Las Palmas	19	2	9	8	-18	15
19	Tenerife	19	3	5	11	-12	14
20	Castellon	19	2	7	10	-14	13
21	Zaragoza	19	2	5	12	-13	11
22	Lugo	18	2	5	11	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.