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LaLiga2

Lugo

U T T T T

1–3

Full-time

Alcorcon

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 25%

24%

26%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 37%

44%

29%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 9

12 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 19. · Alcorcon 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	34	21	7	6	+36	70
2	Mallorca	34	20	8	6	+23	68
3	Almeria	34	18	6	10	+18	60
4	Leganes	34	17	6	11	+9	57
5	Sp Gijon	34	15	11	8	+11	56
6	Vallecano	34	16	7	11	+9	55
7	Girona	35	14	10	11	+3	52
8	Ponferradina	34	13	10	11	-1	49
9	Malaga	34	13	9	12	-6	48
10	Mirandes	33	13	8	12	+1	47
11	Las Palmas	34	11	12	11	-4	45
12	Tenerife	33	12	8	13	+1	44
13	Fuenlabrada	35	9	17	9	-1	44
14	Oviedo	34	8	16	10	+0	40
15	Zaragoza	35	10	9	16	-8	39
16	Logrones	34	10	9	15	-17	39
17	Castellon	34	10	6	18	-9	36
18	Alcorcon	34	9	9	16	-9	36
19	Lugo	34	8	12	14	-13	36
20	Cartagena	34	8	11	15	-11	35
21	Sabadell	35	7	13	15	-10	34
22	Albacete	34	7	8	19	-22	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	17	13	2	2	+24	41
2	Leganes	17	13	1	3	+12	40
3	Mallorca	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Sp Gijon	17	9	7	1	+11	34
5	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+15	32
6	Tenerife	17	9	5	3	+12	32
7	Vallecano	17	10	2	5	+9	32
8	Las Palmas	17	9	4	4	+10	31
9	Girona	18	9	4	5	+7	31
10	Ponferradina	17	8	6	3	+5	30
11	Zaragoza	17	8	5	4	+5	29
12	Lugo	17	6	7	4	+4	25
13	Castellon	17	8	0	9	+4	24
14	Cartagena	17	6	5	6	+2	23
15	Alcorcon	17	7	2	8	-2	23
16	Oviedo	17	5	7	5	+3	22
17	Mirandes	16	5	7	4	+2	22
18	Malaga	17	5	6	6	-3	21
19	Logrones	16	6	3	7	-5	21
20	Fuenlabrada	18	3	11	4	+1	20
21	Albacete	17	4	5	8	-6	17
22	Sabadell	17	2	9	6	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	16	9	5	2	+6	32
2	Espanol	17	8	5	4	+12	29
3	Almeria	17	9	1	7	+3	28
4	Malaga	17	8	3	6	-3	27
5	Mirandes	17	8	1	8	-1	25
6	Fuenlabrada	17	6	6	5	-2	24
7	Vallecano	17	6	5	6	+0	23
8	Sp Gijon	17	6	4	7	+0	22
9	Girona	17	5	6	6	-4	21
10	Sabadell	18	5	4	9	-6	19
11	Ponferradina	17	5	4	8	-6	19
12	Oviedo	17	3	9	5	-3	18
13	Logrones	18	4	6	8	-12	18
14	Leganes	17	4	5	8	-3	17
15	Las Palmas	17	2	8	7	-14	14
16	Alcorcon	17	2	7	8	-7	13
17	Tenerife	16	3	3	10	-11	12
18	Castellon	17	2	6	9	-13	12
19	Cartagena	17	2	6	9	-13	12
20	Albacete	17	3	3	11	-16	12
21	Lugo	17	2	5	10	-17	11
22	Zaragoza	18	2	4	12	-13	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.