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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

U U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Lugo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 30%

37%

23%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

37%

31%

Both score Ø 48%

49%

46%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 8. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	36	22	8	6	+40	74
2	Mallorca	35	20	8	7	+22	68
3	Almeria	35	18	7	10	+18	61
4	Leganes	35	17	7	11	+9	58
5	Sp Gijon	36	15	12	9	+10	57
6	Vallecano	35	16	8	11	+9	56
7	Girona	35	14	10	11	+3	52
8	Ponferradina	35	13	11	11	-1	50
9	Malaga	36	13	10	13	-7	49
10	Mirandes	35	13	9	13	+0	48
11	Fuenlabrada	36	10	17	9	+0	47
12	Tenerife	35	12	10	13	+1	46
13	Las Palmas	36	11	13	12	-8	46
14	Oviedo	35	9	16	10	+1	43
15	Zaragoza	36	10	10	16	-8	40
16	Logrones	36	10	10	16	-18	40
17	Alcorcon	35	10	9	16	-7	39
18	Castellon	35	11	6	18	-8	39
19	Cartagena	36	9	12	15	-10	39
20	Lugo	35	8	12	15	-15	36
21	Sabadell	35	7	13	15	-10	34
22	Albacete	35	8	8	19	-21	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	18	14	2	2	+28	44
2	Leganes	18	13	2	3	+12	41
3	Mallorca	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Sp Gijon	18	9	7	2	+10	34
5	Almeria	18	9	6	3	+15	33
6	Tenerife	17	9	5	3	+12	32
7	Las Palmas	18	9	5	4	+10	32
8	Vallecano	17	10	2	5	+9	32
9	Girona	18	9	4	5	+7	31
10	Ponferradina	17	8	6	3	+5	30
11	Zaragoza	18	8	6	4	+5	30
12	Castellon	18	9	0	9	+5	27
13	Lugo	18	6	7	5	+2	25
14	Cartagena	18	6	6	6	+2	24
15	Mirandes	17	5	8	4	+2	23
16	Alcorcon	17	7	2	8	-2	23
17	Oviedo	17	5	7	5	+3	22
18	Logrones	18	6	4	8	-6	22
19	Malaga	18	5	6	7	-4	21
20	Fuenlabrada	18	3	11	4	+1	20
21	Albacete	18	5	5	8	-5	20
22	Sabadell	17	2	9	6	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	17	9	5	3	+5	32
2	Espanol	18	8	6	4	+12	30
3	Almeria	17	9	1	7	+3	28
4	Malaga	18	8	4	6	-3	28
5	Fuenlabrada	18	7	6	5	-1	27
6	Mirandes	18	8	1	9	-2	25
7	Vallecano	18	6	6	6	+0	24
8	Sp Gijon	18	6	5	7	+0	23
9	Oviedo	18	4	9	5	-2	21
10	Girona	17	5	6	6	-4	21
11	Ponferradina	18	5	5	8	-6	20
12	Sabadell	18	5	4	9	-6	19
13	Logrones	18	4	6	8	-12	18
14	Leganes	17	4	5	8	-3	17
15	Alcorcon	18	3	7	8	-5	16
16	Cartagena	18	3	6	9	-12	15
17	Tenerife	18	3	5	10	-11	14
18	Las Palmas	18	2	8	8	-18	14
19	Castellon	17	2	6	9	-13	12
20	Albacete	17	3	3	11	-16	12
21	Lugo	17	2	5	10	-17	11
22	Zaragoza	18	2	4	12	-13	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.