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Allsvenskan

Hammarby

U T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Varberg

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 70%

72%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 7. · Varberg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	19	11	5	3	+16	38
2	AIK	18	11	4	3	+12	37
3	Elfsborg	19	11	3	5	+14	36
4	Malmo FF	19	10	5	4	+16	35
5	Norrkoping	19	9	3	7	+9	30
6	Kalmar	19	8	6	5	+1	30
7	Hammarby	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Varberg	18	7	5	6	+0	26
9	Sirius	19	7	5	7	-8	26
10	Hacken	19	6	5	8	+0	23
11	Goteborg	18	5	7	6	+0	22
12	Halmstad	19	4	8	7	-4	20
13	Degerfors	19	5	3	11	-16	18
14	Mjallby	19	3	8	8	-6	17
15	Orebro	19	3	4	12	-25	13
16	Ostersunds	19	3	3	13	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	10	8	2	0	+12	26
2	Djurgarden	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Malmo FF	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Elfsborg	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Hammarby	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Norrkoping	9	5	2	2	+8	17
7	Sirius	9	5	1	3	+2	16
8	Kalmar	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+6	14
10	Varberg	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Degerfors	9	4	1	4	+1	13
12	Goteborg	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Halmstad	9	2	6	1	+1	12
14	Ostersunds	10	3	1	6	+4	10
15	Mjallby	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Orebro	9	1	4	4	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	9	5	1	3	+6	16
2	Djurgarden	9	4	3	2	+3	15
3	Kalmar	9	4	3	2	+0	15
4	Malmo FF	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Norrkoping	10	4	1	5	+1	13
6	Varberg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	AIK	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Goteborg	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Sirius	10	2	4	4	-10	10
10	Hammarby	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Hacken	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Mjallby	11	1	5	5	-4	8
13	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Orebro	10	2	0	8	-17	6
15	Degerfors	10	1	2	7	-17	5
16	Ostersunds	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.