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LaLiga2
Oviedo
U U U U U
1–3
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
30%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 14. · Burgos 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 11 7 1 3 +11 22
2 Eibar 11 6 3 2 +4 21
3 Sp Gijon 11 6 3 2 +4 21
4 Ponferradina 11 5 4 2 +5 19
5 Cartagena 11 6 0 5 -1 18
6 Las Palmas 11 4 5 2 +2 17
7 Tenerife 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Valladolid 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Huesca 11 4 3 4 +4 15
10 Fuenlabrada 11 3 6 2 +2 15
11 Lugo 11 3 6 2 +1 15
12 Mirandes 10 4 2 4 +2 14
13 Malaga 11 3 5 3 -3 14
14 Oviedo 10 2 7 1 +2 13
15 Ibiza 11 2 6 3 -5 12
16 Sociedad B 11 2 5 4 -2 11
17 Zaragoza 11 1 8 2 -2 11
18 Burgos 10 2 4 4 -1 10
19 Leganes 11 2 4 5 -4 10
20 Girona 10 2 2 6 -5 8
21 Amorebieta 11 1 5 5 -6 8
22 Alcorcon 11 2 1 8 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
2,94
B ✓
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,68
U2,5
1,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.