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LaLiga2

Lugo

U U S S U

1–0

Full-time

Burgos

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 13. · Burgos 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	25	14	5	6	+12	47
2	Almeria	24	14	4	6	+20	46
3	Eibar	24	13	7	4	+10	46
4	Tenerife	24	12	6	6	+15	42
5	Ponferradina	24	11	8	5	+9	41
6	Girona	25	11	5	9	+5	38
7	Cartagena	24	11	3	10	-2	36
8	Las Palmas	24	9	8	7	+2	35
9	Ibiza	24	8	10	6	+6	34
10	Oviedo	24	7	12	5	+2	33
11	Burgos	24	9	5	10	+3	32
12	Sp Gijon	25	8	8	9	-3	32
13	Lugo	24	6	13	5	+2	31
14	Malaga	24	8	7	9	-12	31
15	Huesca	24	7	9	8	+3	30
16	Zaragoza	24	5	13	6	-6	28
17	Mirandes	24	7	6	11	-5	27
18	Leganes	24	6	8	10	-5	26
19	Amorebieta	25	4	12	9	-7	24
20	Fuenlabrada	24	4	11	9	-8	23
21	Sociedad B	24	4	6	14	-13	18
22	Alcorcon	24	2	6	16	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	+12	26
3	Eibar	11	8	2	1	+9	26
4	Burgos	12	7	3	2	+14	24
5	Girona	13	7	3	3	+9	24
6	Las Palmas	12	7	3	2	+9	24
7	Malaga	13	7	3	3	+0	24
8	Tenerife	12	7	2	3	+12	23
9	Ponferradina	12	6	5	1	+10	23
10	Cartagena	11	7	1	3	+7	22
11	Oviedo	12	5	6	1	+7	21
12	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+3	21
13	Lugo	12	5	5	2	+3	20
14	Mirandes	12	5	2	5	+1	17
15	Fuenlabrada	13	3	7	3	+0	16
16	Amorebieta	12	3	6	3	+1	15
17	Ibiza	12	3	5	4	+2	14
18	Huesca	13	3	5	5	-1	14
19	Zaragoza	12	2	7	3	-2	13
20	Leganes	11	2	6	3	+0	12
21	Alcorcon	12	1	5	6	-12	8
22	Sociedad B	12	1	3	8	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	12	6	2	4	+8	20
2	Ibiza	12	5	5	2	+4	20
3	Eibar	13	5	5	3	+1	20
4	Tenerife	12	5	4	3	+3	19
5	Ponferradina	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Zaragoza	12	3	6	3	-4	15
9	Girona	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Leganes	13	4	2	7	-5	14
11	Cartagena	13	4	2	7	-9	14
12	Sociedad B	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Oviedo	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Lugo	12	1	8	3	-1	11
15	Sp Gijon	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Las Palmas	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Mirandes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Amorebieta	13	1	6	6	-8	9
19	Burgos	12	2	2	8	-11	8
20	Fuenlabrada	11	1	4	6	-8	7
21	Malaga	11	1	4	6	-12	7
22	Alcorcon	12	1	1	10	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.