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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hearts
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Motherwell 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 17 5 1 +30 56
2 Celtic 22 16 3 3 +33 51
3 Hearts 22 11 6 5 +12 39
4 Motherwell 22 9 5 8 -4 32
5 Hibernian 22 8 6 8 +0 30
6 Aberdeen 22 8 4 10 +0 28
7 Dundee United 22 8 4 10 -7 28
8 St Mirren 22 5 10 7 -11 25
9 Livingston 22 6 5 11 -9 23
10 Ross County 23 5 7 11 -7 22
11 Dundee 22 4 5 13 -21 17
12 ST Johnstone 22 3 6 13 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Nov -21 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 2. Oct -21 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 7. Mar -20 Hearts – Motherwell 1–1 7. Dec -19 Motherwell – Hearts 1–0 14. Sep -19 Hearts – Motherwell 2–3

Match report

Hearts Motherwell
4′
🟨 Liam Kelly
33′
🔁 S. Goss
↦ B. Maguire
1–0 A. Halliday ⚽
C. Devlin
37′
Half-time 1–0
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ J. Souttar
46′
2–0 E. Simms ⚽
L. Boyce
58′
B. Woodburn 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
60′
P. Haring 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
61′
Peter Haring 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 C. Shields
↦ J. Roberts
B. McKay 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
77′
80′
🟨 Sean Goss
81′
🔁 J. Amaluzor
↦ S. Goss
A. Cochrane 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-1-2
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
15 T. Moore D
12 N. Atkinson M
16 A. Halliday M
11 G. Mackay-Steven F
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
20 E. Simms F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
9 B. Woodburn
5 P. Haring
18 B. McKay
17 A. Cochrane
13 R. Stewart
30 J. Ginnelly
22 E. Henderson
8 A. McEneff

Coach: R. Neilson

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
2 S. O'Donnell D
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
6 B. Maguire M
16 C. Slattery M
11 L. Shaw M
26 R. Tierney F
9 K. van Veen F
28 J. Roberts F
Bench (9)
27 S. Goss
29 C. Shields
17 J. Amaluzor
5 B. Mugabi
14 J. Ojala
23 L. Grimshaw
7 K. Woolery
12 S. Fox
32 V. Nirennold

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
🔒
U
3,73
🔒
B
4,95
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,05
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,75
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.