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LaLiga2
Girona
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Lugo
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
48%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
39%
Both score Ø 68%
61%
74%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
2 Corners 1
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 6. · Lugo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 23 14 4 5 +22 46
2 Valladolid 24 13 5 6 +11 44
3 Eibar 23 12 7 4 +8 43
4 Tenerife 24 12 6 6 +15 42
5 Ponferradina 23 10 8 5 +8 38
6 Girona 23 11 4 8 +6 37
7 Las Palmas 24 9 8 7 +2 35
8 Ibiza 24 8 10 6 +6 34
9 Oviedo 24 7 12 5 +2 33
10 Cartagena 23 10 3 10 -3 33
11 Burgos 24 9 5 10 +3 32
12 Sp Gijon 24 8 8 8 -2 32
13 Malaga 24 8 7 9 -12 31
14 Huesca 23 7 9 7 +4 30
15 Lugo 23 6 12 5 +2 30
16 Zaragoza 24 5 13 6 -6 28
17 Mirandes 23 7 5 11 -5 26
18 Leganes 24 6 8 10 -5 26
19 Fuenlabrada 24 4 11 9 -8 23
20 Amorebieta 24 3 12 9 -8 21
21 Sociedad B 23 4 6 13 -12 18
22 Alcorcon 23 2 5 16 -28 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U ✓
3,48
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.