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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Burgos
T U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burgos 14. · Eibar 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Zaragoza 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Leganes 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Tenerife 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Ferrol 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Sp Gijon 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Andorra 4 2 0 2 -2 6
9 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Amorebieta 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Santander 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Albacete 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Mirandes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Burgos 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Villarreal B 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Huesca 4 0 3 1 -2 3
20 Valladolid 4 1 0 3 -3 3
21 Eibar 4 1 0 3 -5 3
22 Oviedo 4 0 2 2 -2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Eibar
Miguel Atienza 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
Matos 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Juan Berrocal
61′
🟨 Luca Zidane
63′
🟨 Cristian Gutiérrez
1–0 Curro Sánchez
65′
66′
🔁 Quique González
↦ José Corpas
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Dani Ojeda
70′
K. Appin 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
70′
74′
🔁 Mario Soriano
↦ Y. Rahmani
74′
🔁 Ángel Troncho
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
Borja González 🔁
↦ Ander Martín
79′
Andy 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
79′
86′
🔁 Unai Vencedor
↦ Ager Aketxe
E. Saveljich 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
89′
93′
🟨 Juan Berrocal
93′
🟥 Juan Berrocal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Caro G
6 Raúl Navarro D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego D
23 José Matos D
7 Dani Ojeda M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Ander Martín M
9 Fer Niño F
16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench (10)
10 Álex Bermejo
12 K. Appin
2 Borja González
17 Andy
24 E. Saveljich
27 Javi López
11 Álex Sancris
1 L. Badiashile
19 Edu Espiau
31 O. El Goumiri

Coach: Bolo

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
10 Ager Aketxe M
11 Y. Rahmani M
19 Stoichkov F
Bench (9)
7 Quique González
30 Mario Soriano
31 Ángel Troncho
14 Unai Vencedor
12 J. Yriarte
18 Jon Bautista
32 Aritz Muguruza
21 Ríos Reina
13 Yoel Rodríguez

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,99
U
2,93
B
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,64
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.