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LaLiga2
Referee: Francisco Hernández
Burgos
T U S U S
1–2
Full-time
Eibar
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
0,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 2. · Eibar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 19 9 8 2 +12 35
2 Burgos 18 9 7 2 +10 34
3 Alaves 19 9 7 3 +5 34
4 Levante 18 8 7 3 +7 31
5 Cartagena 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Eibar 18 8 6 4 +5 30
7 Granada 18 8 4 6 +9 28
8 Andorra 19 8 3 8 +5 27
9 Huesca 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Villarreal B 19 7 6 6 -1 27
11 Leganes 19 7 5 7 +1 26
12 Albacete 19 6 8 5 -3 26
13 Oviedo 19 6 6 7 -2 24
14 Sp Gijon 18 5 8 5 +0 23
15 Tenerife 19 6 5 8 -2 23
16 Zaragoza 19 5 7 7 -3 22
17 Mirandes 19 4 8 7 -4 20
18 Santander 18 4 6 8 -5 18
19 Lugo 18 4 6 8 -7 18
20 Ponferradina 18 4 5 9 -9 17
21 Malaga 18 3 5 10 -10 14
22 Ibiza 18 3 3 12 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Eibar
Mourad 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
26′
1–0 Gaspar Campos
José Matos
37′
40′
🟨 Álvaro Vadillo
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
Míchel Zabaco 🟨
47′
62′
🔁 Imanol García de Albéniz
↦ Ríos Reina
62′
🔁 Rober Correa
↦ Álvaro Tejero
62′
🔁 G. Blanco
↦ Jon Bautista
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Míchel Zabaco
69′
Grego 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
69′
73′
Stoichkov 1–1
Álvaro Vadillo
74′
🟨 Róber
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
75′
Jesús Areso 🔁
↦ Borja González
75′
75′
🔁 Matheus Pereira
↦ Javi Muñoz
79′
🔁 Ángel Troncho
↦ Álvaro Vadillo
87′
G. Blanco 1–2
José Corpas
Curro 🟨
93′
Matos 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
4 Míchel Zabaco D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
11 Gaspar Campos M
10 Álex Bermejo F
Bench (10)
9 Mourad
6 Raúl Navarro
20 Grego
7 Juan Artola
19 Jesús Areso
3 Fran García
21 Saúl Berjón
15 Juan Hernández
8 Pablo Valcarce
1 Dani Barrio

Coach: Julián Calero

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
16 Ríos Reina D
22 Peru Nolaskoain M
14 Javi Muñoz M
17 José Corpas M
19 Stoichkov M
21 Álvaro Vadillo M
18 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
30 Imanol García de Albéniz
4 Rober Correa
9 G. Blanco
8 Matheus Pereira
31 Ángel Troncho
2 Chema Rodríguez
6 Sergio Álvarez
1 Ander Cantero
11 Y. Rahmani
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
2,86
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,69
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.