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LaLiga2

Referee: Iván Caparrós

Burgos

T S U T T

0–1

Full-time

Lugo

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 22%

32%

12%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

32%

34%

Both score Ø 38%

34%

41%

Average goals

1,6

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 11. · Lugo 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	41	21	9	11	+23	72
2	Las Palmas	41	18	17	6	+20	71
3	Alaves	41	19	13	9	+14	70
4	Levante	41	17	18	6	+15	69
5	Eibar	41	18	14	9	+8	68
6	Albacete	41	16	16	9	+10	64
7	Oviedo	41	16	11	14	+0	59
8	Cartagena	41	16	10	15	+0	58
9	Tenerife	42	14	15	13	+5	57
10	Andorra	41	15	11	15	+9	56
11	Burgos	41	13	15	13	-1	54
12	Zaragoza	42	12	17	13	+1	53
13	Leganes	41	14	11	16	-3	53
14	Huesca	41	11	19	11	+1	52
15	Mirandes	41	13	13	15	-5	52
16	Santander	41	13	12	16	-3	51
17	Sp Gijon	41	11	17	13	-2	50
18	Villarreal B	41	13	11	17	-5	50
19	Malaga	41	10	13	18	-7	43
20	Ponferradina	41	8	17	16	-16	41
21	Ibiza	41	7	12	22	-33	33
22	Lugo	41	5	13	23	-31	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	20	16	4	0	+31	52
2	Alaves	21	13	7	1	+17	46
3	Tenerife	21	12	6	3	+16	42
4	Eibar	21	11	8	2	+11	41
5	Levante	20	10	7	3	+13	37
6	Huesca	20	9	9	2	+11	36
7	Leganes	21	10	6	5	+4	36
8	Las Palmas	20	9	8	3	+11	35
9	Oviedo	21	10	5	6	+3	35
10	Albacete	20	9	7	4	+10	34
11	Zaragoza	21	8	10	3	+9	34
12	Mirandes	21	9	7	5	+4	34
13	Andorra	20	10	3	7	+11	33
14	Sp Gijon	20	8	9	3	+9	33
15	Villarreal B	21	9	6	6	+8	33
16	Burgos	20	8	8	4	+4	32
17	Cartagena	21	9	4	8	-3	31
18	Santander	20	8	6	6	+4	30
19	Malaga	20	7	8	5	+3	29
20	Ponferradina	21	6	7	8	-6	25
21	Ibiza	21	5	7	9	-10	22
22	Lugo	21	3	10	8	-6	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	21	9	9	3	+9	36
2	Levante	21	7	11	3	+2	32
3	Albacete	21	7	9	5	+0	30
4	Cartagena	20	7	6	7	+3	27
5	Eibar	20	7	6	7	-3	27
6	Alaves	20	6	6	8	-3	24
7	Oviedo	20	6	6	8	-3	24
8	Andorra	21	5	8	8	-2	23
9	Burgos	21	5	7	9	-5	22
10	Santander	21	5	6	10	-7	21
11	Granada	21	5	5	11	-8	20
12	Zaragoza	21	4	7	10	-8	19
13	Mirandes	20	4	6	10	-9	18
14	Leganes	20	4	5	11	-7	17
15	Sp Gijon	21	3	8	10	-11	17
16	Villarreal B	20	4	5	11	-13	17
17	Ponferradina	20	2	10	8	-10	16
18	Huesca	21	2	10	9	-10	16
19	Tenerife	21	2	9	10	-11	15
20	Malaga	21	3	5	13	-10	14
21	Ibiza	20	2	5	13	-23	11
22	Lugo	20	2	3	15	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.