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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Valladolid
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Elche
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
0%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Valladolid 19. · Elche 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 5 5 0 0 +8 15
2 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Ferrol 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Santander 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Mirandes 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Andorra 5 2 0 3 -3 6
13 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Villarreal B 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
18 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Valladolid 4 1 0 3 -3 3
20 Cartagena 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Huesca 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Elche
33′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Borja Garcés
1–0 Gustavo Henrique
Monchu
35′
43′
🟨 Tete Morente
Half-time 1–0
51′
ℹ️ Mario Gaspar
VAR: Card upgrade
52′
🟥 Mario Gaspar
53′
Sergio León 1–1
Tete Morente
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ David Torres
56′
56′
🔁 Álex Martín
↦ Sergio Carreira
57′
🔁 L. Blanco
↦ Fidel
Marcos André 🟨
63′
Raúl Moro 🔁
↦ Kenedy
68′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Marcos André
69′
75′
🔁 Óscar Plano
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
75′
🔁 Cristian Salvador
↦ N. Castro
Iván Garriel 🔁
↦ Sergio Escudero
81′
Iván Cédric 🔁
↦ S. Jurić
81′
88′
🟨 Jose Salinas
Flavien Boyomo 🟨
89′
Iván Sánchez 🟨
94′
Joni Montiel 🟨
94′
Joni Montiel 🟨
94′
Raúl Moro 🟨
94′
Joni Montiel 🟥
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

3-5-2
25 John G
6 F. Boyomo D
15 Gustavo Henrique D
3 David Torres D
22 Lucas Rosa M
10 Iván Sánchez M
20 S. Jurić M
8 Monchu M
18 Sergio Escudero M
24 Kenedy F
9 Marcos André F
Bench (11)
21 Joni Montiel
11 Raúl Moro
7 M. Sylla
29 Iván Garriel
35 Iván Cédric
36 B. Akinsola
1 Jordi Masip
2 Luis Pérez
4 Víctor Meseguer
26 Alberto Quintana
23 A. Tuhami

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Elche

4-4-2
13 Edgar Badia G
24 Sergio Carreira D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
21 N. Castro M
14 Aleix Febas M
11 Tete Morente M
18 Borja Garcés F
16 Fidel F
Bench (9)
9 Sergio León
15 Álex Martín
3 L. Blanco
7 Óscar Plano
20 Cristian Salvador
1 Miguel San Román
4 Diego González
19 Mourad
8 Raúl Guti

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,08
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.