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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Cartagena
T T T T S
1–3
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 18. · Zaragoza 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Zaragoza 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Ferrol 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Santander 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Levante 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Burgos 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Andorra 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Eldense 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Amorebieta 5 1 2 2 +1 5
13 Albacete 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Mirandes 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Elche 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Villarreal B 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Alcorcon 4 1 1 2 -4 4
18 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -2 3
19 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
20 Valladolid 4 1 0 3 -3 3
21 Huesca 5 0 3 2 -4 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Zaragoza
16′
Manu Vallejo 0–1
Carlos Nieto
1–1 Arnau Solà
31′
33′
🔁 Q. Lecoeuche
↦ Carlos Nieto
Jonathan Carmona 🟨
37′
39′
Alcalá 2–1
own goal
42′
🟨 Jair Amador
Half-time 2–1
Luis Muñoz 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
46′
Juan Carlos Real 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
63′
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Iván Ayllón
63′
Úmaro Embaló 🔁
↦ Jony Álamo
63′
65′
🔁 Víctor Mollejo
↦ Manu Vallejo
66′
🔁 Francho Serrano
↦ Toni Moya
78′
🔁 Jaume Grau
↦ Maikel Mesa
78′
🔁 Germán Valera
↦ Sergio Bermejo
Alfredo Ortuño 🟨
85′
T. Alarcón 🔁
↦ José Fontán
89′
92′
🟨 Víctor Mollejo
92′
Víctor Mollejo 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-4-2
1 Marc Martínez G
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
4 Alcalá D
14 José Fontán D
33 Arnau Solà D
21 I. Jansson M
10 H. Hevel M
32 Jony Álamo M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
35 Iván Ayllón F
Bench (12)
8 Luis Muñoz
11 Juan Carlos Real
12 J. Narváez
19 Úmaro Embaló
23 T. Alarcón
18 D. Musto
13 Raúl Lizoain
7 David Ferreiro
22 Kiko Olivas
47 Juan Carlos
27 José Saldaña
17 Mikel Rico

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
15 S. Mouriño D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
21 Toni Moya M
8 Marc Aguado M
19 Manu Vallejo M
12 S. Bakış F
11 Maikel Mesa F
Bench (12)
22 Q. Lecoeuche
20 Víctor Mollejo
14 Francho Serrano
5 Jaume Grau
7 Germán Valera
31 Juan Serrano
29 Pau Sans
38 Andrés Borge
13 G. Poussin
35 Dani Rebollo
24 Lluís López
23 Sergi Enrich

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,06
U
2,93
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,51
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.