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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Swansea
U T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Stoke
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Championship · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 11. · Stoke 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 32 21 9 2 +36 72
2 Sheffield United 32 18 7 7 +24 61
3 Middlesbrough 32 17 6 9 +19 57
4 Watford 33 13 11 9 +4 50
5 Millwall 31 14 7 10 +7 49
6 Blackburn 32 15 4 13 -3 49
7 Sunderland 31 13 9 9 +13 48
8 Luton 30 13 9 8 +7 48
9 Norwich 32 13 7 12 +7 46
10 West Brom 32 12 9 11 +6 45
11 Swansea 32 11 9 12 -2 42
12 Hull 33 11 9 13 -9 42
13 Preston 32 11 9 12 -9 42
14 Bristol City 32 10 11 11 +1 41
15 Coventry 30 11 8 11 +1 41
16 Reading 32 12 5 15 -12 41
17 QPR 33 10 9 14 -12 39
18 Birmingham 32 10 8 14 -5 38
19 Stoke 32 10 7 15 -3 37
20 Cardiff 33 9 8 16 -11 35
21 Rotherham 32 7 12 13 -10 33
22 Huddersfield 32 8 7 17 -13 31
23 Blackpool 32 7 10 15 -15 31
24 Wigan 32 7 10 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Stoke
1–0 M. Whittaker
M. Sorinola
2′
15′
J. Laurent 1–1
20′
J. Laurent 1–2
T. Campbell
Matthew Sorinola 🟨
28′
O. Ntcham 🔁
↦ H. Darling
31′
Half-time 1–2
Ben Cabango 🟨
46′
Matt Grimes 🟨
47′
Ryan Manning 🟨
55′
56′
🔁 J. Thompson
↦ T. Campbell
61′
🟨 Dwight Gayle
L. Walsh 🔁
↦ J. Allen
71′
76′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ B. Pearson
L. Cullen 🔁
↦ M. Sorinola
79′
94′
L. Baker 1–3
J. Brown
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Swansea

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
5 B. Cabango D
23 N. Wood-Gordon D
6 H. Darling D
29 M. Sorinola M
7 J. Allen M
8 M. Grimes M
3 R. Manning M
17 J. Piroe F
31 O. Cooper F
19 M. Whittaker F
Bench (7)
10 O. Ntcham
28 L. Walsh
20 L. Cullen
45 C. Congreve
22 J. Latibeaudiere
26 K. Naughton
27 A. Søndergaard

Coach: R. Martin

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 M. Šarkić G
20 D. Sterling D
16 B. Wilmot D
3 M. Fox D
17 K. Hoever D
22 B. Pearson M
28 J. Laurent M
9 J. Brown M
18 W. Smallbone M
10 T. Campbell M
11 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
15 J. Thompson
8 L. Baker
32 C. Taylor
47 K. Reddin
13 J. Bonham
45 N. Lowe
48 G. Adebambo

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,26
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.