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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Villarreal B
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
26%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
32%
Both score Ø 42%
47%
37%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 18. · Valladolid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 20 11 5 4 +18 38
2 Valladolid 19 11 2 6 +4 35
3 Sp Gijon 20 9 7 4 +11 34
4 Ferrol 20 9 7 4 +5 34
5 Espanol 20 9 6 5 +10 33
6 Eibar 20 9 4 7 +7 31
7 Levante 20 8 7 5 +1 31
8 Santander 20 8 6 6 +5 30
9 Tenerife 20 9 3 8 +1 30
10 Oviedo 20 7 8 5 +7 29
11 Burgos 20 8 5 7 +2 29
12 Elche 20 8 5 7 -1 29
13 Mirandes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
14 Zaragoza 20 7 6 7 +0 27
15 Eldense 20 6 7 7 -5 25
16 Albacete 20 6 6 8 -6 24
17 Andorra 20 6 5 9 -6 23
18 Villarreal B 19 5 5 9 -8 20
19 Huesca 20 4 7 9 -5 19
20 Alcorcon 20 4 5 11 -15 17
21 Amorebieta 20 3 6 11 -12 15
22 Cartagena 20 3 6 11 -14 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Valladolid
1–0 Álex Forés
22′
Carlos Romero 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Tuhami
↦ Iván Sánchez
57′
🟨 Isra Sala
Alberto del Moral 🔁
↦ Carlos Romero
58′
61′
🟨 Raúl Moro
61′
🟨 Stanko Jurić
61′
🔁 Víctor Meseguer
↦ S. Jurić
61′
🔁 Joni Montiel
↦ Isra Sala
64′
🟨 Anuar
Reque 🔁
↦ Aitor Gelardo
78′
Rodri Alonso 🔁
↦ Álex Forés
79′
Espigares 🔁
↦ Lanchi
90′
A. Ferrari 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
16 Lanchi D
12 S. Leković D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
10 Javi Ontiveros M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
8 Carlo Adriano M
18 Carlos Romero M
9 Álex Forés F
11 Jorge Pascual F
Bench (11)
6 Alberto del Moral
27 Reque
21 Rodri Alonso
29 Espigares
24 A. Ferrari
22 T. Geralnik
17 Fabio Blanco
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
35 Rubén Gómez
15 Marcos Sánchez
5 Abraham del Moral

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
2 Luis Pérez D
6 E. Boyomo D
3 David Torres D
22 Lucas Rosa D
10 Iván Sánchez M
8 Monchu M
20 S. Jurić M
11 Raúl Moro M
24 Kenedy F
38 Isra Sala F
Bench (9)
23 A. Tuhami
4 Víctor Meseguer
21 Joni Montiel
39 Adrián Arnuncio
26 Alberto Quintana
15 Gustavo Henrique
36 B. Akinsola
16 César de la Hoz
25 John Victor

Coach: P. Pezzolano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,37
U
3,31
B
2,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.