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Super League
Referee: P Tsagarakis
Panserraikos
S U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 46%
21%
71%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,0
2,6
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
4 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 12. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 15 10 4 1 +15 34
2 PAOK 15 10 3 2 +22 33
3 Olympiakos 14 10 2 2 +24 32
4 Panathinaikos 15 10 1 4 +25 31
5 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 2 5 +4 23
6 Aris 14 7 2 5 +4 23
7 Lamia 15 5 4 6 -9 19
8 Atromitos 15 4 6 5 -7 18
9 OFI Crete 16 4 6 6 -7 18
10 Asteras Tripolis 15 5 2 8 -9 17
11 Volos NFC 15 3 5 7 -11 14
12 Panserraikos 14 3 4 7 -12 13
13 Kifisia 15 2 6 7 -12 12
14 Panetolikos 15 2 4 9 -15 10
15 Giannina 15 1 5 9 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panserraikos Olympiakos
12′
🟨 Andreas Ndoj
Half-time 0–0
M. Tomás 🔁
↦ K. Pileas
46′
M. Sofianos 🔁
↦ A. Bajrovic
46′
Paschalis Staikos 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ Daniel Podence
65′
Y. El-Arabi 0–1
68′
🟨 Kostas Fortounis
S. Mourgos 🔁
↦ J. Masharipov
69′
78′
🟨 Giulian Biancone
M. Moreira 🔁
↦ I. Ouédraogo
79′
81′
🔁 Pep Biel
↦ A. El Kaabi
84′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ P. Deligiannidis
85′
90′
🔁 O. Richards
↦ G. Masouras
90′
🔁 S. Alexandropoulos
↦ K. Fortounis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panserraikos

3-4-2-1
1 A. Chovan G
31 E. Bergström D
5 A. Avlonitis D
8 K. Thymianis D
64 P. Deligiannidis M
26 P. Staikos M
72 I. Ouédraogo M
2 K. Pileas M
18 Z. Chatzistravos F
10 J. Masharipov F
9 A. Bajrovic F
Bench (9)
11 M. Tomás
23 M. Sofianos
21 S. Mourgos
69 M. Moreira
27 D. Dankerlui
3 S. Petavrakis
25 N. Gkotzamanidis
6 A. Oikonomou
13 P. Katsikas

Coach: P. García

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
41 G. Biancone D
74 A. Ntoi D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
4 M. Camara M
7 K. Fortounis M
19 G. Masouras M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
11 Y. El-Arabi
21 Pep Biel
27 O. Richards
15 S. Alexandropoulos
22 S. Jovetić
8 Iborra
20 João Carvalho
18 Quini
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,39
U
4,83
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tsagarakis · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.