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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Sp Gijon
T U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Oviedo
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,2
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 18. · Oviedo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Santander 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Zaragoza 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Albacete 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Eibar 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Levante 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Malaga 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Almeria 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Mirandes 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Castellon 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Burgos 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Eldense 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 La Coruna 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Oviedo 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Granada 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Elche 3 1 0 2 +0 3
17 Cartagena 3 1 0 2 -2 3
18 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Cadiz 3 0 2 1 -4 2
20 Ferrol 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Tenerife 4 0 1 3 -3 1
22 Cordoba 3 0 1 2 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Oviedo
3′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Eric Curbelo 🟨
9′
17′
🟨 David Costas
1–0 J. Otero
20′
Guille Rosas 🟨
31′
2–0 Cote
38′
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ Diego Sánchez
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ Sebas Moyano
46′
🔁 Álvaro Lemos
↦ Lucas Ahijado
47′
🟨 Carlos Pomares Rayo
José Ángel 🟨
49′
49′
I. Chaira 2–1
Alemão
César Gelabert 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
66′
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Jonathan Dubasin
66′
66′
🔁 Jaime Seoane
↦ Alberto del Moral
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ J. Otero
75′
Kevin Vázquez 🔁
↦ Guille Rosas
75′
75′
🔁 Paulino de la Fuente
↦ I. Chaira
76′
🟨 Dani Calvo
3–1 Víctor Campuzano
Kevin Vázquez
76′
79′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Santi Cazorla
Víctor Campuzano 🟨
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
23 Eric Curbelo D
22 Diego Sánchez D
3 Cote D
10 Nacho Méndez M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
8 Jesús Bernal M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (12)
6 Nacho Martín
18 César Gelabert
9 Dani Queipo
11 Víctor Campuzano
20 Kevin Vázquez
4 Róber Pier
34 E. Lozano
15 N. Maraš
26 Iker Martínez
5 Pablo García
13 C. Sánchez
29 Y. Kembo

Coach: Rubén Albés

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
5 Alberto del Moral M
11 S. Colombatto M
16 I. Chaira M
8 Santi Cazorla M
7 Sebas Moyano M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
23 H. Hassan
2 Álvaro Lemos
20 Jaime Seoane
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 D. Paraschiv
6 K. Sibo
29 Jaime Vázquez
1 Q. Braat
22 Carlos Dotor
15 Oier Luengo
27 Álex Cardero
17 Masca

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
U
2,99
B
3,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,56
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.