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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Oviedo
S S T S U
1–3
Full-time
Santander
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,5
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 10. · Santander 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Albacete 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Almeria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Mirandes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Oviedo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Granada 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Santander 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Cordoba 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Sp Gijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Castellon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -4 1
19 La Coruna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Tenerife 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
22 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Santander
-5′
🟨 Pablo Rodríguez
9′
🟨 Juan Carlos Arana
1–0 I. Chaira
Santi Cazorla
12′
26′
Andrés Martín 1–1
Pablo Rodríguez
27′
Andrés Martín 1–2
Aritz Aldasoro
Santi Cazorla 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
Lucas Ahijado 🔁
↦ Oier Luengo
46′
S. Colombatto 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
46′
Carlos Dotor 🔁
↦ Alberto del Moral
46′
Masca 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
60′
60′
🔁 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
60′
🔁 Jon Karrikaburu
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
Paulino de la Fuente 🔁
↦ I. Chaira
71′
74′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ Manu Hernando
74′
🔁 Suleiman Camara
↦ Andrés Martín
75′
C. Michelin 1–3
Suleiman Camara
David Costas 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Jon Karrikaburu
85′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ C. Michelin
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Aarón Escandell G
15 Oier Luengo D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 R. Alhassane D
23 H. Hassan M
5 Alberto del Moral M
8 Santi Cazorla M
16 I. Chaira M
7 Sebas Moyano F
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
24 Lucas Ahijado
11 S. Colombatto
22 Carlos Dotor
17 Masca
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 D. Paraschiv
1 Q. Braat
20 Jaime Seoane
6 K. Sibo
21 Carlos Pomares
2 Álvaro Lemos
27 Álex Cardero

Coach: Javier Calleja

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
3 Saúl García D
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
21 Unai Vencedor M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (11)
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
19 Jon Karrikaburu
5 Javi Castro
20 Suleiman Camara
15 Marco Sangalli
1 Miquel Parera
12 M. Gueye
40 Mario García
4 Pol Moreno
7 L. Junior
28 Marco Carrascal

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,23
B ✓
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.