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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Almeria
T U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
1,0
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
27 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 8. · Sp Gijon 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huesca 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Albacete 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Santander 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Almeria 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Mirandes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Oviedo 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Granada 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Cadiz 3 0 2 1 -4 2
15 Cordoba 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Ferrol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Sp Gijon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Castellon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Tenerife 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 La Coruna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
22 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Sp Gijon
36′
🟨 José Ángel
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Eric Curbelo
Marc Pubill 🔁
↦ Álex Pozo
57′
Léo Baptistão 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
57′
61′
🔁 Pablo García
↦ Cote
62′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ Gaspar Campos
L. Robertone 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Melero
70′
72′
🔁 Róber Pier
↦ Eric Curbelo
72′
🔁 César Gelabert
↦ Nacho Méndez
1–0 Álex Centelles
L. Robertone
77′
80′
🟨 Róber Pier
82′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Jesús Bernal
84′
Víctor Campuzano 1–1
Jonathan Dubasin
85′
ℹ️ Víctor Campuzano
VAR: Goal confirmed
M. Milovanović 🔁
↦ Nico Melamed
88′
Bruno Langa 🔁
↦ Álex Centelles
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
17 Álex Pozo D
4 Kaiky D
21 Chumi D
20 Álex Centelles D
3 Edgar González M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
11 Sergio Arribas M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
18 Marc Pubill
12 Léo Baptistão
5 L. Robertone
19 M. Milovanović
24 Bruno Langa
15 I. Baba
22 C. Montes
28 R. Fettal
6 D. Lopy
30 Valen Gómez
16 A. Radovanović
13 Fernando Martínez

Coach: Rubi

Sp Gijon

3-4-2-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
23 Eric Curbelo D
14 Lander Olaetxea D
22 Diego Sánchez D
2 Guille Rosas M
10 Nacho Méndez M
8 Jesús Bernal M
3 Cote M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
7 Gaspar Campos F
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
5 Pablo García
9 Dani Queipo
4 Róber Pier
18 César Gelabert
11 Víctor Campuzano
26 Iker Martínez
6 Nacho Martín
13 C. Sánchez
27 Álex Oyón
34 E. Lozano
29 Y. Kembo
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,61
B
4,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.