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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Sp Gijon
S T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Castellon
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 11. · Castellon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
3 Huesca 9 5 1 3 +6 16
4 Levante 9 4 3 2 +4 15
5 Mirandes 9 4 3 2 +3 15
6 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +1 15
7 Oviedo 9 4 3 2 +0 15
8 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Castellon 8 4 1 3 +3 13
10 Granada 9 3 4 2 +0 13
11 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
12 Malaga 9 2 6 1 -1 12
13 Elche 9 3 2 4 +0 11
14 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
15 Eldense 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Cadiz 9 2 4 3 -4 10
17 La Coruna 9 2 3 4 -2 9
18 Cordoba 9 2 3 4 -3 9
19 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
21 Cartagena 9 2 0 7 -7 6
22 Tenerife 9 1 2 6 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Castellon
Juan Otero 🟨
-5′
2′
🟨 Jetro Willems
César Gelabert 🟨
19′
21′
K. Mamah 0–1
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Raúl Sánchez
58′
🔁 M. Seuntjens
↦ Douglas Aurélio
58′
🔁 Salva Ruiz
↦ Óscar Gil
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
60′
Diego Sánchez 🔁
↦ N. Maraš
60′
1–1 Nacho Méndez
Jonathan Dubasin
62′
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ César Gelabert
70′
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ J. Otero
70′
73′
🔁 Josep Calavera
↦ Raúl Sánchez
73′
🔁 Israel Suero
↦ Sergio Moyita
Cote 🔁
↦ Pablo García
75′
2–1 Diego Sánchez
Jonathan Dubasin
87′
Jonathan Dubasin 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 D. Flakus Bosilj
↦ J. Willems
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
5 Pablo García D
18 César Gelabert M
14 Lander Olaetxea M
10 Nacho Méndez M
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
19 J. Otero F
7 Gaspar Campos F
Bench (11)
9 Dani Queipo
22 Diego Sánchez
6 Nacho Martín
16 J. Caicedo
3 Cote
20 Kevin Vázquez
27 Álex Oyón
29 Y. Kembo
8 Jesús Bernal
11 Víctor Campuzano
13 C. Sánchez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Castellon

3-1-4-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
15 J. Willems D
14 Óscar Gil M
8 K. Mamah M
7 Sergio Moyita M
6 T. van den Belt M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
11 Douglas Aurélio F
21 Cala F
Bench (12)
20 M. Seuntjens
17 Salva Ruiz
23 Josep Calavera
4 Israel Suero
12 D. Flakus Bosilj
46 Peré
19 Dani Villahermosa
16 B. Cipenga
33 J. Vertrouwd
27 José Albert
30 B. Schwake
13 A. Abedzadeh

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,51
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.