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LaLiga2

Sp Gijon

T U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Castellon

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

67%

22%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

22%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 0

2 Corners 6

18 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Gijon 3. · Castellon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Mallorca	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Sp Gijon	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	Leganes	10	6	0	4	+2	18
5	Vallecano	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Lugo	10	5	1	4	+1	16
7	Cartagena	10	4	3	3	+4	15
8	Fuenlabrada	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Malaga	9	4	2	3	-4	14
10	Mirandes	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Las Palmas	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Girona	8	4	1	3	-2	13
13	Ponferradina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
14	Almeria	8	3	2	3	+2	11
15	Logrones	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Oviedo	10	2	4	4	-3	10
17	Tenerife	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Albacete	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Castellon	9	2	2	5	-2	8
20	Zaragoza	8	1	4	3	-2	7
21	Sabadell	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Alcorcon	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Espanol	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Vallecano	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Cartagena	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Mallorca	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Sp Gijon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Fuenlabrada	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Lugo	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Albacete	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Tenerife	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Malaga	4	2	2	0	+2	8
13	Logrones	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Girona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Zaragoza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Mirandes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
17	Ponferradina	5	2	0	3	-2	6
18	Almeria	4	1	2	1	+2	5
19	Oviedo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
20	Alcorcon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
21	Castellon	5	1	0	4	-2	3
22	Sabadell	3	1	0	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	5	2	3	0	+3	9
2	Sp Gijon	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Mirandes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Lugo	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Girona	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Malaga	5	2	0	3	-6	6
10	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Oviedo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Cartagena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Fuenlabrada	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Sabadell	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Leganes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Tenerife	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Zaragoza	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Alcorcon	4	0	1	3	-3	1
22	Albacete	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.