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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Mirandes
S T U S T
3–2
Full-time
Malaga
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
27%
36%
Both score Ø 37%
32%
41%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 6. · Malaga 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 23 12 7 4 +14 43
2 Santander 23 12 6 5 +11 42
3 Elche 23 11 7 5 +14 40
4 Levante 23 10 9 4 +12 39
5 Oviedo 23 11 6 6 +5 39
6 Mirandes 22 11 5 6 +9 38
7 Huesca 23 10 7 6 +10 37
8 Granada 23 9 7 7 +6 34
9 Sp Gijon 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Eibar 23 9 5 9 +0 32
11 Malaga 22 6 13 3 +2 31
12 Zaragoza 23 8 6 9 +4 30
13 Cordoba 23 8 6 9 -7 30
14 Castellon 23 8 5 10 -2 29
15 La Coruna 22 7 7 8 +3 28
16 Albacete 23 6 10 7 -3 28
17 Cadiz 23 6 9 8 -3 27
18 Burgos 23 7 6 10 -8 27
19 Eldense 23 5 6 12 -13 21
20 Ferrol 23 3 10 10 -20 19
21 Tenerife 22 3 6 13 -16 15
22 Cartagena 23 4 3 16 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Malaga
9′
🟨 Álex Pastor
40′
Manu Molina 0–1
Dioni
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Einar Galilea
↦ Álex Pastor
Urko Izeta ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
56′
🟨 Alfonso Herrero
1–1 J. Panichelli
57′
58′
🔁 David Larrubia
↦ Sangalli
2–1 Jon Gorrotxategi
Hugo Rincón
61′
Alberto Reina 🟨
65′
71′
David Larrubia 2–2
Einar Galilea
73′
🔁 R. Baturina
↦ Dioni
Álex Calvo 🔁
↦ Ander Martín
80′
Joel Roca 🔁
↦ Urko Izeta
80′
86′
🔁 Y. Rahmani
↦ Antonio Cordero
Joaquin Panichelli 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 A. Moloney
↦ Julen Lobete
Adrián Butzke 🔁
↦ Iker Benito
89′
3–2 Joel Roca
J. Panichelli
93′
Tachi 🔁
↦ J. Panichelli
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Mirandes

3-1-4-2
13 Raúl Fernández G
2 Hugo Rincón D
22 Juan Gutiérrez D
15 Pablo Tomeo D
6 Jon Gorrotxategi M
29 Iker Benito M
20 Ander Martín M
10 Alberto Reina M
3 Julio Alonso M
9 J. Panichelli F
17 Urko Izeta F
Bench (8)
11 Álex Calvo
27 Joel Roca
7 Adrián Butzke
5 Tachi
26 A. Bassinga
31 Álex González
1 Luis López
28 Alberto Dadie

Coach: A. Lisci

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
14 Víctor García D
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
24 Julen Lobete M
23 Sangalli M
26 Antonio Cordero M
17 Dioni F
Bench (12)
4 Einar Galilea
10 David Larrubia
9 R. Baturina
21 Y. Rahmani
35 A. Moloney
13 Carlos López
2 Gabilondo
18 Dani Sánchez
27 Chupe
29 Izan Merino
6 Ramón Enríquez
16 Diego Murillo

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
2,94
B
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,76
U2,5
1,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.