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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Mirandes
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
53%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
26%
47%
Both score Ø 48%
32%
63%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 4. · Sp Gijon 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 19 11 4 4 +8 37
3 Oviedo 20 10 5 5 +5 35
4 Mirandes 19 10 4 5 +6 34
5 Granada 20 9 5 6 +8 32
6 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
7 Elche 19 8 6 5 +8 30
8 Huesca 19 8 5 6 +8 29
9 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
10 Sp Gijon 19 8 5 6 +6 29
11 Eibar 20 8 3 9 -2 27
12 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
13 Albacete 20 6 7 7 -3 25
14 Malaga 19 4 12 3 -3 24
15 Cordoba 20 6 6 8 -6 24
16 Burgos 19 6 4 9 -8 22
17 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
18 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
19 Eldense 19 5 5 9 -5 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 20 4 1 15 -21 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Sp Gijon
Julio Alonso ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
Urko Izeta 🔁
↦ J. Panichelli
27′
1–0 M. Lachuer
27′
28′
🔁 N. Maraš
↦ Eric Curbelo
Half-time 1–0
62′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
63′
🔁 Gaspar Campos
↦ César Gelabert
64′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ N. Maraš
S. Homenchenko 🔁
↦ Alberto Reina
70′
72′
🟨 Róber Pier
75′
🔁 Iker Martínez
↦ Kevin Vázquez
75′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ J. Caicedo
Tachi 🔁
↦ M. Lachuer
76′
80′
Róber Pier 1–1
Nacho Martín
82′
ℹ️ Jonathan Dubasin
VAR: Goal confirmed
Alberto Dadie 🔁
↦ Joel Roca
89′
96′
🟨 Jonathan Dubasin
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mirandes

5-3-2
13 Raúl Fernández G
33 Víctor Parada D
22 Juan Gutiérrez D
4 Unai Eguíluz D
15 Pablo Tomeo D
3 Julio Alonso D
10 Alberto Reina M
6 Jon Gorrotxategi M
19 M. Lachuer M
27 Joel Roca F
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (8)
17 Urko Izeta
8 S. Homenchenko
5 Tachi
28 Alberto Dadie
31 Álex González
1 Luis López
11 Álex Calvo
20 Ander Martín

Coach: A. Lisci

Sp Gijon

5-4-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
20 Kevin Vázquez D
23 Eric Curbelo D
14 Lander Olaetxea D
4 Róber Pier D
5 Pablo García D
17 Jonathan Dubasin M
8 Jesús Bernal M
10 Nacho Méndez M
18 César Gelabert M
16 J. Caicedo F
Bench (11)
15 N. Maraš
7 Gaspar Campos
6 Nacho Martín
26 Iker Martínez
11 Víctor Campuzano
13 C. Sánchez
28 P. Mbemba
9 Dani Queipo
29 Y. Kembo
3 Cote
27 Álex Oyón

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,66
U ✓
2,86
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,76
U2,5 ✓
1,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.