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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Malaga
U T T U U
3–0
Full-time
Eldense
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
21%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
32%
42%
Both score Ø 45%
37%
53%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Malaga 14. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 19 11 4 4 +8 37
3 Oviedo 20 10 5 5 +5 35
4 Mirandes 19 10 4 5 +6 34
5 Granada 20 9 5 6 +8 32
6 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
7 Elche 19 8 6 5 +8 30
8 Huesca 19 8 5 6 +8 29
9 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
10 Sp Gijon 19 8 5 6 +6 29
11 Eibar 20 8 3 9 -2 27
12 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
13 Albacete 20 6 7 7 -3 25
14 Malaga 19 4 12 3 -3 24
15 Cordoba 20 6 6 8 -6 24
16 Burgos 19 6 4 9 -8 22
17 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
18 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
19 Eldense 19 5 5 9 -5 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 20 4 1 15 -21 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -23 Malaga – Eldense 1–0

Match report

Malaga Eldense
1–0 Antonio Cordero
Dani Sánchez
8′
Einar Galilea ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
16′
2–0 Nélson Monte
Dani Sánchez
28′
38′
🟨 Iván Martos
39′
🟨 David Timor
42′
🟨 Iván Martos
42′
🟥 Iván Martos
Half-time 2–0
46′
ℹ️ Fran Gámez
VAR: Card upgrade
46′
🔁 Joel Jorquera
↦ Iván Chapela
46′
🔁 R. Grigore
↦ Marc Mateu
50′
🟨 Unai Ropero
56′
🟨 Joel Jorquera
Julen Lobete 🟨
58′
Julen Lobete ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
Dioni 🔁
↦ R. Baturina
66′
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
66′
David Larrubia ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
72′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ Unai Ropero
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ David Larrubia
79′
Kevin Medina 🔁
↦ Antonio Cordero
80′
80′
🔁 Alan Godoy
↦ Nacho Quintana
Jokin Gabilondo 🟨
81′
86′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ Piña
Ramón Enríquez 🔁
↦ Manu Molina
88′
92′
🟨 Ricardo Grigore
3–0 Kevin Medina
93′
95′
🟨 Víctor Camarasa
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
10 David Larrubia M
24 Julen Lobete M
26 Antonio Cordero M
9 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
17 Dioni
35 A. Moloney
21 Y. Rahmani
11 Kevin Medina
6 Ramón Enríquez
25 Sergio Castel
5 Álex Pastor
14 Víctor García
3 Puga
13 Carlos López
29 Izan Merino
23 Sangalli

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Eldense

4-4-2
13 Ian Mackay G
15 Fran Gámez D
5 Piña D
3 Iván Martos D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
24 David Timor M
20 Iván Chapela M
9 Nacho Quintana F
18 Unai Ropero F
Bench (10)
19 Joel Jorquera
22 R. Grigore
21 Álex Bernal
29 Alan Godoy
6 Víctor Camarasa
10 Cris Montes
1 Dani Martín
11 Juanto
27 S. Ogbuehi
16 Y. Lachhab

Coach: Dani Ponz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,00
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,61
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.