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LaLiga2
Referee: Carlos Muñiz
Burgos
S S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Albacete
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
34%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
28%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
34%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 18. · Albacete 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 30 16 6 8 +16 54
2 Levante 30 14 11 5 +17 53
3 Elche 30 15 8 7 +16 53
4 Santander 30 15 8 7 +13 53
5 Huesca 30 14 9 7 +16 51
6 Oviedo 30 14 8 8 +6 50
7 Almeria 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Granada 30 12 10 8 +9 46
9 Cordoba 30 12 7 11 -1 43
10 Cadiz 30 10 11 9 +2 41
11 La Coruna 30 10 10 10 +4 40
12 Sp Gijon 30 9 13 8 +4 40
13 Eibar 30 11 7 12 -2 40
14 Castellon 30 11 6 13 -1 39
15 Malaga 30 8 15 7 -1 39
16 Albacete 29 9 10 10 -2 37
17 Zaragoza 30 9 9 12 +1 36
18 Burgos 29 10 6 13 -9 36
19 Eldense 30 9 7 14 -11 34
20 Tenerife 30 5 7 18 -19 22
21 Ferrol 30 4 10 16 -31 22
22 Cartagena 30 4 3 23 -37 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Albacete
1–0 Borja Sánchez
Álex Sancris
1′
20′
Fidel
penalty missed
Half-time 1–0
Rubén Quintanilla 🔁
↦ G. Barès
46′
46′
🔁 Pablo Sáenz
↦ Fidel
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
58′
Fer Niño 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
58′
65′
🟨 Antonio Pacheco
Eduardo Espiau ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
67′
Álex Sancris
penalty missed
69′
70′
🔁 Javi Martón
↦ José Carlos Lazo
70′
🔁 Jon Morcillo
↦ C. Kofane
Fernando Niño 🟨
71′
76′
🟨 Jon Morcillo
83′
🔁 Ale Meléndez
↦ Riki Rodríguez
83′
🔁 N. Touaizi
↦ Agus Medina
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
87′
Marcelo Expósito 🔁
↦ Edu Espiau
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
5 Miguel Atienza M
15 G. Barès M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
10 Borja Sánchez M
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (12)
46 Rubén Quintanilla
21 Iñigo Córdoba
9 Fer Niño
7 Dani Ojeda
33 Marcelo Expósito
23 Iván Morante
20 Pipa
24 N. Miličić
14 David González
1 Tomeu Nadal
2 G. Konan
28 Mario Cantero

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Albacete

4-4-2
13 Raúl Lizoain G
2 Álvaro Rodríguez D
23 Pepe Sánchez D
27 Lalo Aguilar D
4 Agus Medina D
10 Fidel M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
20 Antonio Pacheco M
7 Juanma García M
11 José Carlos Lazo F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (10)
21 Pablo Sáenz
19 Javi Martón
22 Jon Morcillo
17 Ale Meléndez
15 N. Touaizi
3 Juan María Alcedo
18 Javi Villar
5 Javi Moreno
14 Jon García
30 Mario Ramos

Coach: Alberto González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,01
B
3,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Muñiz · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.