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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Burgos
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Albacete
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
39%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 12. · Albacete 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 24 13 6 5 +20 45
2 Eibar 24 12 5 7 +11 41
3 Sp Gijon 23 10 9 4 +12 39
4 Espanol 24 10 8 6 +10 38
5 Ferrol 23 10 8 5 +4 38
6 Oviedo 24 9 10 5 +10 37
7 Levante 24 9 10 5 +2 37
8 Elche 24 10 7 7 +1 37
9 Valladolid 23 11 3 9 +1 36
10 Santander 23 9 6 8 +3 33
11 Zaragoza 24 8 9 7 +2 33
12 Burgos 23 9 6 8 +1 33
13 Eldense 24 8 9 7 -2 33
14 Tenerife 24 9 5 10 -1 32
15 Mirandes 24 7 9 8 +0 30
16 Albacete 23 6 7 10 -8 25
17 Villarreal B 24 6 7 11 -11 25
18 Alcorcon 24 6 7 11 -13 25
19 Huesca 24 5 9 10 -3 24
20 Cartagena 24 6 6 12 -11 24
21 Andorra 24 6 5 13 -12 23
22 Amorebieta 24 3 7 14 -16 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Albacete
1–0 Fer Niño
Álex Sancris
8′
24′
🟨 Lander Olaetxea
38′
Álvaro Rodríguez 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Miguel Atienza 🔁
↦ Ander Martín
53′
Dani Ojeda 🔁
↦ K. Appin
54′
Joni Montiel 🔁
↦ Álex Sancris
66′
66′
🔁 Julio Alonso
↦ J. Silva
66′
🔁 Alberto Quiles
↦ Juanma García
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Unai Elgezabal
78′
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
78′
2–1 Curro Sánchez
84′
Curro 🟨
87′
93′
🔁 Pedro Benito
↦ Dani Escriche
93′
🔁 Javi Vargas
↦ Agus Medina
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
23 José Matos D
11 Álex Sancris M
14 Unai Elgezabal M
12 K. Appin M
8 Ander Martín M
16 Curro Sánchez F
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (7)
5 Miguel Atienza
7 Dani Ojeda
21 Joni Montiel
10 Álex Bermejo
19 Edu Espiau
1 L. Badiashile
22 Miki Muñoz

Coach: Bolo

Albacete

4-4-2
1 Bernabé Barragán G
23 Álvaro Rodríguez D
2 M. Djetei D
24 Cristian Glauder D
3 J. Silva D
4 Agus Medina M
19 Lander Olaetxea M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
10 Manu Fuster M
16 Dani Escriche F
7 Juanma García F
Bench (7)
17 Julio Alonso
21 Alberto Quiles
14 Pedro Benito
30 Javi Vargas
35 Luis Roldán
13 Diego Altube
6 Sergi Maestre

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
2,99
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.