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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez
Cadiz
T T S S U
3–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 26
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 15
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 7. · Sp Gijon 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 20 11 5 4 +15 +0.2 38
2 Las Palmas 20 10 7 3 +13 -0.1 37
3 Almeria 20 10 5 5 +10 -0.1 35
4 Castellon 20 10 4 6 +9 +3.2 34
5 La Coruna 20 9 6 5 +11 +2.7 33
6 Ceuta 20 9 5 6 +0 -4.0 32
7 Cadiz 20 8 7 5 +1 -0.8 31
8 Sp Gijon 20 9 3 8 -2 +1.2 30
9 Malaga 20 8 5 7 +4 -0.8 29
10 Burgos 20 8 5 7 +4 +1.5 29
11 Cordoba 20 7 8 5 +2 +0.6 29
12 Valladolid 20 6 7 7 +1 +3.9 25
13 Eibar 20 6 6 8 -2 +1.5 24
14 Andorra 20 6 6 8 -6 -0.5 24
15 Cultural Leonesa 20 7 3 10 -8 -6.3 24
16 Leganes 20 5 8 7 -1 +1.2 23
17 Albacete 20 6 5 9 -8 -0.6 23
18 Huesca 20 6 5 9 -9 +1.3 23
19 Sociedad B 20 6 4 10 -2 +0.7 22
20 Granada 20 4 9 7 -4 -0.1 21
21 Zaragoza 20 4 5 11 -15 -2.8 17
22 Mirandes 20 4 4 12 -13 -2.1 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Sp Gijon
-5′
🟨 Jonathan Dubasin
1–0 A. Pascual
J. Moreno
11′
Moussa Diakité 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. Ocampo
M. Climent
53′
Brian Ocampo 🟨
64′
I. Tabatadze 🔁
↦ J. de la Rosa
64′
A. Cordero 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
64′
66′
🔁 D. Queipo
↦ J. Bernal
3–0 I. Tabatadze
72′
A. Fernandez 🔁
↦ M. Diakite
75′
Y. Diarra 🔁
↦ A. Pascual
75′
Sergio Ortuño 🟨
81′
82′
J. Dubasin 3–1
83′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ Nacho Martin
83′
🔁 G. Campos
↦ J. Dubasin
83′
🔁 A. Coundoul
↦ D. Sanchez
83′
🔁 M. Rodriguez
↦ A. Corredera
J. Diaz Peregrina 🔁
↦ I. Carcelen
87′
90′
G. Campos 3–2
J. Otero
Iuri Tabatadze 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
2 J. Moreno D
6 I. Recio D
21 M. Climent D
19 J. de la Rosa M
5 M. Diakite M
15 S. Ortuno M
10 B. Ocampo M
17 D. Camara F
23 A. Pascual F
Bench (12)
1 D. Gil
8 A. Fernandez
9 R. Marti
12 I. Tabatadze
16 A. Cordero
18 Y. Diarra
22 J. Ontiveros
24 J. Gonzalez
27 P. Fernandez
33 R. Pereira
34 J. Diaz Peregrina
37 J. Domina

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
23 E. Curbelo D
4 L. Perrin D
5 D. Sanchez D
8 J. Bernal M
6 Nacho Martin M
17 J. Dubasin M
14 A. Corredera M
10 C. Gelabert Pina M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (11)
13 C. Joel
39 M. Ordonez
3 P. Garcia
7 G. Campos
11 D. Queipo
15 P. Vazquez
18 A. Coundoul
20 K. Vazquez
24 J. Smith
34 A. D. Garcia
36 M. Rodriguez

Coach: Asier Garitano Aguirrezábal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
2,95
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sanchez Lopez · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.