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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez
Cadiz
U T T S T
2–3
Full-time
Santander
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
38%
88%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,91 xG 1,18
29% Possession 71%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 8. · Santander 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 16 9 5 2 +17 +2.8 32
2 Santander 16 10 2 4 +14 +0.9 32
3 Almeria 17 9 5 3 +11 +0.4 32
4 Las Palmas 16 8 5 3 +8 +0.4 29
5 Burgos 16 7 4 5 +6 +1.5 25
6 Castellon 16 7 4 5 +4 +3.2 25
7 Valladolid 17 6 6 5 +5 +3.9 24
8 Cadiz 16 6 6 4 -1 -1.5 24
9 Sp Gijon 17 7 3 7 -2 +0.0 24
10 Ceuta 16 7 3 6 -3 -3.2 24
11 Cordoba 16 5 6 5 -1 -0.7 21
12 Cultural Leonesa 16 6 2 8 -3 -4.7 20
13 Malaga 16 5 4 7 -1 -1.3 19
14 Granada 16 4 7 5 -2 +0.9 19
15 Albacete 16 5 4 7 -5 -0.7 19
16 Huesca 17 5 4 8 -8 +1.3 19
17 Leganes 16 4 6 6 -2 +2.7 18
18 Sociedad B 17 5 3 9 -3 +0.7 18
19 Andorra 17 4 6 7 -7 -1.3 18
20 Eibar 16 4 5 7 -5 -1.1 17
21 Mirandes 16 4 3 9 -9 -0.9 15
22 Zaragoza 16 4 3 9 -13 -3.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Santander
1–0 D. Camara
J. de la Rosa
5′
Jose Antonio de la Rosa 🟨
13′
2–0 R. Marti
15′
Dawda Camara 🟨
19′
20′
I. Vicente 2–1
G. Puerta
Mario Climent 🟨
25′
28′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Roger Martí 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ I. Sainz-Maza
Iker Recio 🟨
47′
49′
🟨 Maguette Gueye
50′
🟨 Alvaro Mantilla
A. Pascual 🔁
↦ R. Marti
57′
60′
🟨 Asier Villalibre
60′
🔁 M. Sangalli
↦ A. Mantilla
60′
🔁 Jeremy Arevalo
↦ A. Villalibre
63′
A. Martin 2–2
P. Canales
I. Tabatadze 🔁
↦ J. de la Rosa
68′
Moussa Diakité 🟨
72′
E. Ugiagbe 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
83′
86′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ P. Canales
87′
🔁 A. Aldasoro
↦ I. Vicente
90′
A. Martin 2–3
S. Camara
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 V. Aznar G
20 I. Carcelen D
2 J. Moreno D
6 I. Ortega D
21 M. Climent D
19 J. de la Rosa M
5 M. Diakite M
15 S. Ortuno M
10 B. Ocampo M
9 R. Marti F
17 D. Camara F
Bench (10)
1 D. Gil
28 D. Perez
7 E. Ugiagbe
8 A. Fernandez
12 I. Tabatadze
18 Y. Diarra
23 A. Pascual
27 P. Fernandez
29 A. Caicedo
33 R. Pereira

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ezkieta G
2 A. Mantilla D
5 J. Castro D
21 P. Ramon D
32 J. Salinas D
6 I. Sainz-Maza M
19 G. Puerta M
11 A. Martin M
18 P. Canales M
10 I. Vicente M
12 A. Villalibre F
Bench (12)
35 L. Gomez Rodriguez
3 M. Garcia
4 Manu
8 A. Aldasoro
7 Y. Cabanzon
9 J. Arana
14 M. Gueye
15 M. Sangalli
16 F. Gonzalez
20 S. Camara
29 Jeremy Arevalo
36 M. Sergio

Coach: José Alberto López Menéndez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,27
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
7,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.