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Copa del Rey

Referee: A Ruiz

Sp Gijon

T U S S S

0–2

Full-time

Valencia

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 22. · Valencia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.6	9
2	Elche	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.3	9
3	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
4	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	–	6
5	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
6	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	–	6
7	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
8	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.0	6
9	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.1	6
10	Santander	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
11	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
12	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
13	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
14	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.3	6
15	Cultural Leonesa	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
16	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
17	CF Talavera	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
18	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
19	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
20	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
21	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
22	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
23	Atlético Baleares	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
24	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
25	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
26	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
27	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
28	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	–	6
29	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	–	4
30	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	–	4
31	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
32	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
33	Sant Andreu	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
34	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
35	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
36	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
37	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	–	4
38	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	–	4
39	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.1	3
40	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
41	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
42	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
43	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
44	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	Extremadura 1924	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.1	3
47	Zaragoza	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
48	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
49	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
50	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	–	3
51	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
52	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
53	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
54	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
55	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
56	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
57	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
58	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
59	Sabadell	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
60	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
61	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
62	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
64	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
65	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
66	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
67	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
68	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
69	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
70	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
71	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
72	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
73	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
74	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
75	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
76	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
77	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
78	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
79	Pontevedra	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	–	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
2	Atlético Baleares	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
3	Guadalajara	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
4	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Sant Andreu	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
6	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
8	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
9	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Extremadura 1924	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.1	3
12	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
13	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
14	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
18	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
19	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
20	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
21	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
22	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
23	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
24	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
25	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
26	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
27	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
28	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
31	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
35	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
36	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
37	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	–	1
38	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	–	1
39	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
44	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
49	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Tenerife	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
51	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
52	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
56	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	Sabadell	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
64	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
69	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
70	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
71	Pontevedra	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
72	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
73	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
74	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
75	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
76	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
77	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
78	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
79	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
80	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elche	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.3	9
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	–	6
4	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
5	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+7	–	6
6	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
7	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.0	6
8	La Coruna	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
9	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
10	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.1	6
11	Santander	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
12	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
13	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
14	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
15	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
16	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
17	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
18	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
19	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
20	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+6	–	4
21	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
22	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
23	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
24	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
26	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
28	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
29	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
30	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
31	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
32	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
33	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
34	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
35	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
36	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
37	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
38	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
39	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
40	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
41	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
42	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.