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Superligaen
FC Copenhagen
S S U T S
3–2
Full-time
Aarhus
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
48%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
78%
48%
Both score Ø 69%
78%
59%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 28 17 5 6 +24 56
2 Brondby 28 16 4 8 +16 52
3 FC Copenhagen 27 13 6 8 +5 45
4 Aarhus 27 11 9 7 +9 42
5 Nordsjaelland 28 10 9 9 +3 39
6 Aalborg 28 10 9 9 -1 39
7 Sonderjyske 28 11 5 12 +0 38
8 Randers FC 28 10 6 12 +6 36
9 Odense 28 8 9 11 -5 33
10 Vejle 28 8 9 11 -9 33
11 Lyngby 28 6 7 15 -23 25
12 Horsens 28 4 8 16 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.