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Superligaen

Aarhus

S U S S T

1–0

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 58%

53%

63%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 3. · FC Copenhagen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	31	24	3	4	+31	75
2	FC Copenhagen	30	19	4	7	+19	61
3	Aarhus	30	16	6	8	+13	54
4	Brondby	31	14	6	11	+10	48
5	Nordsjaelland	31	13	6	12	+13	45
6	Aalborg	31	13	5	13	+8	44
7	Odense	31	12	7	12	+3	43
8	Horsens	31	12	7	12	-15	43
9	Randers FC	31	12	6	13	+4	42
10	Sonderjyske	31	9	10	12	-12	37
11	Lyngby	31	9	6	16	-20	33
12	Hobro	31	5	15	11	-12	30
13	Silkeborg	31	5	8	18	-18	23
14	Esbjerg	31	5	7	19	-24	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	15	12	1	2	+17	37
2	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+10	30
3	Midtjylland	15	9	2	4	+9	29
4	Randers FC	15	8	3	4	+11	27
5	Odense	15	8	3	4	+11	27
6	Aarhus	15	8	3	4	+7	27
7	Aalborg	16	8	2	6	+5	26
8	Lyngby	15	8	2	5	-2	26
9	Nordsjaelland	16	7	4	5	+10	25
10	Sonderjyske	16	6	6	4	-1	24
11	Horsens	15	6	3	6	-8	21
12	Esbjerg	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Hobro	16	2	10	4	-5	16
14	Silkeborg	16	4	2	10	-6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	16	15	1	0	+22	46
2	Aarhus	15	8	3	4	+6	27
3	FC Copenhagen	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	Horsens	16	6	4	6	-7	22
5	Nordsjaelland	15	6	2	7	+3	20
6	Aalborg	15	5	3	7	+3	18
7	Brondby	16	5	3	8	+0	18
8	Odense	16	4	4	8	-8	16
9	Randers FC	16	4	3	9	-7	15
10	Hobro	15	3	5	7	-7	14
11	Sonderjyske	15	3	4	8	-11	13
12	Silkeborg	15	1	6	8	-12	9
13	Lyngby	16	1	4	11	-18	7
14	Esbjerg	15	1	3	11	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.