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Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Burnley
S T T T S
1–2
Full-time
West Ham
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 38%
27%
48%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
39%
64%
Both score Ø 49%
39%
58%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 16. · West Ham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 34 25 5 4 +47 80
2 Man United 33 19 10 4 +29 67
3 Leicester 34 19 6 9 +22 63
4 Chelsea 34 17 10 7 +22 61
5 Tottenham 34 16 8 10 +22 56
6 West Ham 33 16 7 10 +10 55
7 Liverpool 33 15 9 9 +16 54
8 Everton 33 15 7 11 +3 52
9 Arsenal 34 14 7 13 +9 49
10 Aston Villa 33 14 6 13 +10 48
11 Leeds 34 14 5 15 -2 47
12 Wolves 34 11 9 14 -13 42
13 Crystal Palace 33 10 8 15 -22 38
14 Brighton 34 8 13 13 -4 37
15 Southampton 33 10 7 16 -18 37
16 Burnley 33 9 9 15 -15 36
17 Newcastle 34 9 9 16 -20 36
18 Fulham 34 5 12 17 -20 27
19 West Brom 34 5 11 18 -34 26
20 Sheffield United 34 5 2 27 -42 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley West Ham
1–0 C. Wood
19′
21′
M. Antonio 1–1
V. Coufal
29′
M. Antonio 1–2
S. Benrahma
Half-time 1–2
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
61′
J. Guðmunds­son 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
74′
78′
🔁 J. Bowen
↦ S. Benrahma
Ben Mee 🟨
85′
A. Barnes 🔁
↦ C. Wood
85′
86′
🟨 Craig Dawson
Jóhann Guðmundsson 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
4 J. Cork M
18 A. Westwood M
8 J. Brownhill M
27 M. Vydra F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (9)
19 J. Rodriguez
7 J. Guðmunds­son
10 A. Barnes
15 B. Peacock-Farrell
16 D. Stephens
34 J. Dunne
25 W. Norris
23 E. Pieters
26 P. Bardsley

Coach: S. Dyche

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
3 A. Cresswell D
15 C. Dawson D
5 V. Coufal D
23 I. Diop D
30 M. Antonio F
10 M. Lanzini M
11 J. Lingard M
28 T. Souček M
18 Pablo Fornals M
9 S. Benrahma M
Bench (9)
20 J. Bowen
45 A. Odubeko
31 B. Johnson
34 N. Trott
24 R. Fredericks
4 F. Balbuena
54 C. Coventry
14 F. Alves
35 D. Randolph

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
U
3,49
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.