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Championship

Referee: S Barrott

Sunderland

S U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Ipswich

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Ipswich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,92 xG 1,26

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
9	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
10	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
12	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
13	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
14	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
16	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
17	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
19	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
20	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
21	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
22	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
11	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
2	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
3	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
4	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
5	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
7	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
8	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
9	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
10	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
11	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.