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Referee: B Staessens

Kortrijk

T U T T T

0–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 0,99

51% Possession 49%

8 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 14

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eupen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
2	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.5	4
3	Genk	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.1	3
4	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
7	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-1.5	3
8	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.0	1
10	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.7	1
12	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
2	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Eupen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
4	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
5	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
7	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
8	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
9	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
10	RWD Molenbeek	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
4	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
6	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.