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Superligaen

Referee: J Burchardt

Hvidovre IF

T T U

0–2

Full-time

Aarhus

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hvidovre IF Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hvidovre IF 10. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.3	9
2	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
3	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Odense	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
5	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
6	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.7	3
7	Silkeborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.2	3
8	Randers FC	3	0	2	1	-4	+0.6	2
9	Lyngby	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
10	Hvidovre IF	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.5	1
11	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
12	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-3	-5.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.9	3
3	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
4	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.4	3
5	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.7	3
6	Randers FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.5	1
7	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Viborg	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
10	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Brondby	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
2	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Odense	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
4	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	Lyngby	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Hvidovre IF	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.5	1
7	Randers FC	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.9	1
8	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-4.6	0
9	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
10	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.