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Superligaen
Referee: M Redder
Vejle
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Brondby
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vejle Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
12%
59%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
59%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,49 xG 1,21
38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vejle 12. · Brondby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 18 12 4 2 +18 +13.4 40
2 Midtjylland 18 10 6 2 +27 +5.1 36
3 Brondby 17 10 1 6 +11 +9.5 31
4 Sonderjyske 18 8 5 5 +5 -2.7 29
5 FC Copenhagen 18 8 4 6 +4 +14.2 28
6 Odense 18 7 5 6 -5 +5.3 26
7 Viborg 18 7 3 8 +2 -2.8 24
8 Nordsjaelland 18 8 0 10 -3 -1.8 24
9 Randers FC 18 5 4 9 -7 +3.2 19
10 Silkeborg 18 5 4 9 -14 -13.5 19
11 Fredericia 18 4 2 12 -22 -17.8 14
12 Vejle 17 2 4 11 -16 -12.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vejle Brondby
40′
🟨 Sho Fukuda
Mikkel Duelund 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Gammelgaard
M. Duelund
49′
55′
🟨 Luis Binks
B. Edjeodji 🔁
↦ A. Jacobsen
60′
Valdemar Lund 🟨
62′
68′
🟨 Jacob Ambaek
68′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ F. Bundgaard
69′
🔁 B. Tahirovic
↦ M. Jensen
69′
🔁 D. Wass
↦ S. Spierings
J. Duin 🔁
↦ C. Gammelgaard
70′
J. Amon 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
70′
A. Sonderskov 🔁
↦ L. Nielsen
70′
72′
S. Fukuda 1–1
M. Gregoritsch
75′
🟥 Patrick Pentz
77′
🔁 T. Mikkelsen
↦ S. Fukuda
2–1 J. Duin
80′
Mads Enggård 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Benjamin Tahirović
L. Flo 🔁
↦ M. Enggaard
89′
Stefan Velkov 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 V. Poulsen
↦ F. Alves
Mike Vestergård 🟨
93′
97′
🟨 Oliver Villadsen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vejle

3-4-3
1 I. Vekic G
13 S. Velkov D
4 L. Nielsen D
5 V. Lund D
2 T. Gundelund M
30 M. Enggaard M
6 M. Vestergaard M
16 T. Bach M
7 C. Gammelgaard F
18 A. Jacobsen F
10 M. Duelund F
Bench (9)
3 C. Sorensen
9 J. Duin
11 J. Amon
22 A. Sonderskov
23 L. Flo
24 T. H. Jakobsen
26 S. Ravn
29 A. Chiakha
32 B. Edjeodji

Coach: Claus Norgaard

Brondby

4-4-2
1 P. Pentz G
2 O. Villadsen D
32 F. Alves D
4 L. Binks D
27 M. Kohlert D
19 S. Fukuda M
6 S. Spierings M
42 M. Jensen M
11 F. Bundgaard M
7 N. Vallys F
38 J. Ambaek F
Bench (10)
8 B. Tahirovic
9 M. Gregoritsch
10 D. Wass
13 G. Beavers
18 K. Uchino
30 J. Vanlerberghe
36 V. Poulsen
39 A. Escobar
41 P. Sondergaard
16 T. Mikkelsen

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Redder · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.