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DBU Pokalen
Nordsjaelland
S T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Brondby
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nordsjaelland 39. · Brondby 37.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Esbjerg 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Odense 3 3 0 0 +17 9
3 Aarhus Fremad 4 3 0 1 +12 9
4 Vejle 3 3 0 0 +11 9
5 Hobro 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Viborg 3 2 1 0 +7 7
7 Fredericia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Brønshøj 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Lyseng 4 2 1 1 -2 7
10 Sonderjyske 3 2 0 1 +10 6
11 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
12 Holbæk B&I 3 2 0 1 +7 6
13 Midtjylland 2 2 0 0 +7 6
14 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
15 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
17 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +5 6
19 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
20 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
21 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Silkeborg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
24 Aarhus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
25 Oksbøl 3 2 0 1 +1 6
26 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
27 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
28 B 93 3 1 1 1 +7 4
29 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
30 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
31 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
32 Randers FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 Lyngby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
34 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
35 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
36 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
37 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
54 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
56 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
58 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
99 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
100 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
101 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
102 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
103 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
104 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Brondby
T. Salquist 🟨
26′
A. Lind 🟨
35′
45′
N. Vallys 0–1
Half-time 0–1
C. Yirenkyi 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 K. Uchino
↦ J. Ambaek
53′
🟨 M. Kohlert
1–1 N. Rojkjaer
55′
71′
🔁 S. Spierings
↦ M. Kohlert
71′
🔁 M. Younis
↦ F. Bundgaard
71′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ D. Wass
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ M. Brink
78′
V. Berthelsen 🔁
↦ O. Solbakken
78′
S. Acquah 🔁
↦ N. Markmann
78′
84′
N. Nartey 1–2
M. Jensen
2–2 V. Berthelsen
P. Amoako
86′
R. Norheim 🔁
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
91′
J. Janssen 🟨
92′
93′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ O. Villadsen
P. Ankersen 🟨
95′
L. Nene 🔁
↦ P. Amoako
100′
3–2 L. Nene
R. Norheim
100′
104′
🟨 L. Binks
106′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ M. Divkovic
4–2 J. Janssen
N. Rojkjaer
120′
121′
🟨 M. Younis
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

13 A. Hansen
2 P. Ankersen
3 T. Salquist
45 N. Markmann
25 J. Lahteenmaki
6 M. Brink
36 C. Yirenkyi
8 N. Rojkjaer
9 O. Solbakken
11 A. Lind
22 P. Amoako
Bench (9)
17 L. Nene
18 J. Janssen
23 R. Norheim
29 V. Berthelsen
30 I. Seidu
34 S. Acquah
38 W. Lykke
40 H. Rasmussen
47 M. Heyde

Coach: Jens Fønsskov Olsen

Brondby

1 P. Pentz
2 O. Villadsen
32 F. Alves
4 L. Binks
27 M. Kohlert
10 D. Wass
35 N. Nartey
24 M. Divkovic
11 F. Bundgaard
7 N. Vallys
38 J. Ambaek
Bench (9)
5 R. Lauritsen
6 S. Spierings
9 M. Gregoritsch
13 G. Beavers
17 J. Che
18 K. Uchino
21 M. Younis
30 J. Vanlerberghe
42 M. Jensen

Coach: Steven David Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.