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Superligaen
Referee: J Karlsen
FC Copenhagen
U S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Brondby
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 57%
47%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
73%
40%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,99 xG 0,80
44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 4. · Brondby 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 16 10 4 2 +15 +14.5 34
2 Midtjylland 15 9 5 1 +22 +2.1 32
3 Brondby 15 10 1 4 +14 +9.9 31
4 FC Copenhagen 15 7 4 4 +7 +12.2 25
5 Sonderjyske 15 6 4 5 +2 -1.9 22
6 Viborg 15 6 1 8 -1 -3.4 19
7 Odense 15 5 4 6 -10 +3.9 19
8 Nordsjaelland 15 6 0 9 -7 -3.0 18
9 Silkeborg 16 5 3 8 -9 -10.5 18
10 Randers FC 15 5 2 8 -6 +0.5 17
11 Fredericia 15 3 2 10 -17 -13.8 11
12 Vejle 15 2 4 9 -10 -10.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Brondby
29′
🟨 Luis Binks
Lukas Lerager 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
E. Achouri 🔁
↦ Robert
46′
60′
🟨 Jacob Ambaek
69′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ J. Ambaek
Elias Achouri ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
1–0 J. Larsson
72′
V. Claesson 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
73′
74′
🔁 B. Tahirovic
↦ S. Spierings
74′
🔁 S. Fukuda
↦ M. Divkovic
82′
🔁 F. Bundgaard
↦ N. Vallys
82′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ O. Villadsen
V. Dadason 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
87′
M. Garananga 🔁
↦ J. Suzuki
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
20 J. Suzuki D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
21 M. Madsen M
16 Robert M
14 A. Cornelius F
10 M. Elyounoussi F
Bench (9)
4 M. Garananga
7 V. Claesson
9 Y. Moukoko
22 Y. Zague
23 D. Sarapata
30 E. Achouri
31 R. A. Runarsson
36 W. Clem
39 V. Dadason

Coach: Bo Svensson

Brondby

4-4-2
1 P. Pentz G
2 O. Villadsen D
32 F. Alves D
4 L. Binks D
27 M. Kohlert D
24 M. Divkovic M
6 S. Spierings M
42 M. Jensen M
7 N. Vallys M
35 N. Nartey F
38 J. Ambaek F
Bench (9)
5 R. Lauritsen
8 B. Tahirovic
9 M. Gregoritsch
10 D. Wass
11 F. Bundgaard
13 G. Beavers
18 K. Uchino
19 S. Fukuda
30 J. Vanlerberghe

Coach: Steven Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Karlsen · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.